NJD beat LAK 4–1. NJD lost the expected-goals battle 1.4 to 3.2 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Nico Hischier scored at 1:22 of the first, moving NJD’s win probability from 47% to 62%. Jacob Markstrom saved 2.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:22 | NJD | Nico Hischier from Luke Hughes | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 3:12 | NJD | Brian Halonen from Luke Glendening, Dennis Cholowski | 2–0 | 66% → 81% |
| P3 3:09 | NJD | Dawson MercerSH from Jonas Siegenthaler | 3–0 | 91% → 98% |
| P3 9:49 |  LAK | Andrei Kuzmenko from Anze Kopitar, Alex Laferriere | 3–1 | 1% → 5% |
| P3 16:12 | NJD | Dawson MercerEN from Jacob Markstrom, Brenden Dillon | 4–1 | 99% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Halonen L | 6:06 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.01 | +0.83 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dawson Mercer C | 19:05 | 2 | +0.72 | −0.11 | +0.84 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nico Hischier C | 22:13 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.17 | +0.84 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Stefan Noesen R | 13:48 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 21:34 | 1 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dennis Cholowski D | 13:53 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Glendening C | 11:05 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Simon Nemec D | 16:45 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 11:39 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 23:01 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Juho Lammikko C | 7:22 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 19:27 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Hughes D | 25:43 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ondrej Palat L | 12:53 | −0.23 | −0.13 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 17:27 | −0.27 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Arseny Gritsyuk R | 11:18 | −0.28 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Hughes C | 20:18 | −0.33 | +0.07 | −0.38 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 18:23 | −0.39 | +0.06 | −0.46 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 60:00 | +2.40 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 17:11 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.04 | +0.57 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 15:57 | +0.27 | +0.12 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 13:33 | +0.22 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 8:52 | +0.09 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 11:07 | +0.09 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 14:34 | +0.06 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 22:26 | +0.02 | +0.12 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 15:31 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 15:42 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 18:26 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brandt Clarke D | 21:27 | −0.12 | +0.08 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 17:39 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 18:48 | −0.13 | +0.11 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 19:50 | −0.24 | +0.08 | −0.33 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 16:24 | −0.25 | +0.05 | −0.30 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 20:35 | −0.27 | +0.04 | −0.31 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:20 | −0.32 | −0.03 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 14:37 | −0.39 | +0.18 | −0.59 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 57:01 | −1.35 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.