VAN beat STL 4–3 in a shootout. VAN lost the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 3.8 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Pius Suter scored on the power play at 10:48 of the third, moving STL’s win probability from 20% to 52%. Kevin Lankinen saved 1.8 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:23 |  STL | Dylan Holloway from Oskar Sundqvist, Pius Suter | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 13:08 | VAN | Kiefer SherwoodPP from Evander Kane | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 0:58 | STL | Jimmy SnuggerudPP from Cam Fowler, Jordan Binnington | 1–2 | 54% → 72% |
| P2 10:42 | VAN | Kiefer Sherwood from Drew O'Connor, Marcus Pettersson | 2–2 | 26% → 47% |
| P3 7:04 | VAN | Kiefer Sherwood from Aatu Räty, Drew O'Connor | 3–2 | 48% → 77% |
| P3 10:48 | STL | Pius SuterPP from Cam Fowler, Oskar Sundqvist | 3–3 | 20% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 25:14 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.18 | +2.20 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | −0.32 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 24:15 | +0.83 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +1.01 | ||
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | 15:19 | +0.07 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aatu Räty C | 10:33 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 0:33 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mackenzie MacEachern L | 12:18 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 24:55 | −0.06 | +0.05 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson D | 12:08 | −0.11 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 19:47 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Lukas Reichel L | 18:50 | −0.15 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 16:19 | 2 | −0.19 | −0.35 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Linus Karlsson C | 13:28 | −0.20 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Tom Willander D | 19:12 | −0.22 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 27:39 | −0.27 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 25:08 | −0.27 | +0.14 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.38 | ||
| Max Sasson C | 14:04 | −0.35 | −0.32 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Arshdeep Bains L | 14:35 | −0.69 | −0.19 | −0.49 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 23:18 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.39 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 65:00 | +1.76 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Holloway L | 23:53 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.06 | +0.73 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Pius Suter C | 19:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.23 | +0.41 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud R | 20:51 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.32 | +0.71 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 | |
| Dalibor Dvorsky R | 16:36 | +0.23 | +0.37 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Tyler Tucker D | 13:44 | +0.14 | +0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 24:44 | 2 | +0.13 | +0.25 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nathan Walker L | 12:03 | +0.11 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Philip Broberg D | 24:43 | +0.02 | +0.13 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Joseph R | 13:46 | −0.05 | +0.15 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 14:28 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.22 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | |
| Colton Parayko D | 24:12 | −0.18 | +0.11 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 11:18 | −0.19 | +0.05 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 9:45 | −0.20 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Logan Mailloux D | 12:03 | −0.28 | +0.15 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Faulk D | 24:31 | −0.33 | −0.16 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 19:48 | −0.35 | +0.11 | −0.19 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 20:55 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.03 | −0.49 | ||
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 22:09 | −0.54 | −0.07 | −0.52 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 83:44 | −1.69 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.