VAN beat CHI 3–2 in a shootout. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 4.6 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Max Sasson scored at 13:42 of the second, moving VAN’s win probability from 25% to 47%. Kevin Lankinen saved 2.6 goals above expected.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:41 | Ryan DonatoPP from Andre Burakovsky, Artyom Levshunov | 0–1 | 54% → 70% | |
| P1 19:14 | Tyler Bertuzzi from Sam Rinzel | 0–2 | 71% → 85% | |
| P2 6:49 | Jake DeBruskPP from Conor Garland, Quinn Hughes | 1–2 | 13% → 27% | |
| P2 13:42 | Max Sasson from Filip Hronek, Linus Karlsson | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Boeser R | 24:25 | +1.37 | +0.72 | −0.32 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +1.01 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 31:52 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.85 | −0.29 | +0.06 | −0.07 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Max Sasson C | 10:17 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.01 | +0.71 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Conor Garland R | 24:15 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.87 | −0.45 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.38 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 22:45 | +0.28 | +0.84 | −0.33 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.32 | ||
| Elias Pettersson D | 12:39 | +0.24 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 20:46 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Victor Mancini D | 12:17 | +0.03 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arshdeep Bains L | 9:32 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 19:13 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Linus Karlsson C | 7:55 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Teddy Blueger C | 12:57 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 12:50 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 23:18 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.04 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 22:10 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.80 | −0.81 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.49 | |
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 16:01 | −0.44 | −0.08 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 21:45 | −0.48 | −0.11 | −0.36 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 14:45 | −0.58 | −0.18 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 65:00 | +2.64 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 19:02 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.09 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 14:59 | +0.28 | +0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 16:18 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Ryan Greene C | 10:15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 14:24 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.63 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Colton Dach C | 9:48 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 19:35 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 13:47 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Rinzel D | 20:56 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 12:46 | −0.20 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lukas Reichel L | 10:42 | −0.31 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 15:38 | −0.39 | −0.37 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 19:46 | −0.41 | −0.34 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 25:10 | −0.55 | −0.57 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 16:18 | −0.73 | −0.18 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 21:16 | −0.85 | −0.38 | −0.48 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 18:49 | −1.07 | −0.39 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.49 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 26:48 | −1.72 | −0.56 | −0.37 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.39 | −0.01 | −0.38 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 65:00 | +2.59 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.