PHI beat FLA 5–2. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.3 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Sean Couturier scored at 15:50 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 51% to 90%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | FLA–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:54 |  PHI | Tyson Foerster from Sean Couturier | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P2 15:47 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Travis Konecny, Travis Sanheim | 0–2 | 75% → 90% |
| P2 19:22 |  FLA | Sam ReinhartSH from Anton Lundell | 1–2 | 8% → 22% |
| P3 10:15 | FLA | Sam BennettPP from Sam Reinhart, Brad Marchand | 2–2 | 18% → 48% |
| P3 15:50 | PHI | Sean Couturier from Trevor Zegras, Jamie Drysdale | 2–3 | 51% → 90% |
| P3 17:43 | PHI | Bobby BrinkEN from Noah Cates, Nick Seeler | 2–4 | 92% → 100% |
| P3 18:33 | PHI | Christian DvorakEN from Travis Sanheim, Sean Couturier | 2–5 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
FLA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart C | 20:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.35 | −0.07 | +0.43 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Gustav Forsling D | 23:19 | +0.33 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 17:55 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Uvis Balinskis D | 9:51 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonah Gadjovich L | 6:53 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| A.J. Greer L | 8:06 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Niko Mikkola D | 20:51 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mackie Samoskevich R | 13:15 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 16:06 | −0.11 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Bennett C | 18:37 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.09 | +0.31 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.39 | −0.03 | |
| Luke Kunin C | 14:14 | −0.21 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Evan Rodrigues C | 16:33 | −0.23 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Jesper Boqvist C | 9:18 | −0.27 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Eetu Luostarinen C | 16:08 | −0.32 | −0.18 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aaron Ekblad D | 23:35 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Lundell C | 15:27 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.08 | −0.48 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Carter Verhaeghe C | 17:29 | −0.45 | −0.04 | −0.40 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 23:58 | −0.47 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov G | 57:58 | −0.27 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Couturier C | 16:41 | 2 | 2 | +1.33 | +0.23 | +1.28 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Tyson Foerster R | 16:56 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.16 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 22:39 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.21 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Juulsen D | 10:33 | +0.29 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jett Luchanko C | 8:49 | +0.23 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 19:02 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 24:56 | 2 | +0.08 | +0.16 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 17:25 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 22:39 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Cates L | 16:53 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Adam Ginning D | 20:33 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 10:22 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 15:55 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.19 | −0.24 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Nikita Grebenkin R | 10:37 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 10:34 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 14:56 | −0.22 | +0.05 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 16:23 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 14:52 | −0.86 | +0.04 | −0.51 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 60:00 | +0.67 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.