BOS beat CHI 4–3 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Fraser Minten scored at 2:12 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:53 | BOS | Casey Mittelstadt unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 8:19 |  CHI | Connor Bedard from Andre Burakovsky, Colton Dach | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 2:22 | CHI | Louis Crevier from Connor Bedard, Nick Foligno | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 9:10 | BOS | Tanner Jeannot from Michael Eyssimont, Henri Jokiharju | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P3 0:15 | BOS | Elias LindholmPP from Pavel Zacha, David Pastrnak | 2–3 | 59% → 78% |
| P3 2:22 | CHI | Andre Burakovsky from Artyom Levshunov, Frank Nazar | 3–3 | 22% → 48% |
| OT 2:12 | BOS | Fraser Minten unassisted | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard C | 21:54 | 1 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.20 | +0.30 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.03 |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 15:41 | 1 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.01 | +0.25 | +0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Louis Crevier D | 8:22 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.08 | +0.43 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 13:34 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 17:01 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Dach C | 13:22 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 17:20 | −0.09 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 23:11 | −0.13 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 19:10 | −0.14 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 8:25 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 20:13 | −0.26 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 17:09 | −0.27 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 20:58 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.13 | −0.34 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 18:31 | −0.28 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 19:03 | −0.31 | −0.08 | −0.10 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 15:57 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.15 | −0.10 | +0.10 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 16:09 | −0.33 | −0.19 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 12:03 | −0.41 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 61:18 | −0.54 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Geekie C | 19:30 | +0.54 | +0.34 | −0.12 | +0.14 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Fraser Minten C | 15:35 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.16 | +0.31 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 16:28 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.05 | +0.30 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 17:12 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.21 | +0.14 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 25:11 | +0.28 | +0.18 | −0.00 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 18:42 | +0.26 | +0.23 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 13:28 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.07 | +0.23 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Kastelic C | 9:19 | +0.17 | +0.05 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Michael Eyssimont C | 12:46 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.08 | −0.12 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Henri Jokiharju D | 18:28 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 14:57 | +0.06 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 12:20 | +0.06 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 21:31 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 4:26 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 10:43 | +0.02 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 20:33 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.05 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 22:13 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 27:26 | −0.48 | −0.02 | −0.23 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 62:00 | −0.39 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.