LAK beat VGK 6–5 in a shootout. LAK lost the expected-goals battle 2.0 to 2.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Brandt Clarke scored at 14:00 of the third, moving LAK’s win probability from 13% to 49%. Adin Hill allowed 3.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:41 | LAK | Andrei KuzmenkoPP from Anze Kopitar, Kevin Fiala | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 11:57 | LAK | Quinton Byfield unassisted | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P2 2:10 | VGK | Pavel Dorofeyev unassisted | 2–1 | 19% → 34% |
| P2 13:41 | LAK | Jeff Malott from Joel Armia, Alex Turcotte | 3–1 | 70% → 86% |
| P2 17:32 | VGK | Pavel DorofeyevPP from Mark Stone, Jack Eichel | 3–2 | 12% → 29% |
| P2 19:14 | VGK | Pavel DorofeyevPP from Mark Stone, Jack Eichel | 3–3 | 33% → 53% |
| P3 5:06 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Mitch Marner, Ivan Barbashev | 3–4 | 52% → 80% |
| P3 8:43 | VGK | Ivan Barbashev from Jack Eichel, Mitch Marner | 3–5 | 82% → 96% |
| P3 11:39 | LAK | Trevor MooreSH from Phillip Danault, Drew Doughty | 4–5 | 3% → 15% |
| P3 14:00 | LAK | Brandt Clarke from Quinton Byfield, Andrei Kuzmenko | 5–5 | 13% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Moore L | 16:42 | 1 | +1.11 | −0.16 | +0.84 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.41 | |
| Jeff Malott L | 6:41 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.07 | +0.75 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Brandt Clarke D | 15:20 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.00 | +0.72 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 15:52 | 1 | 1 | +0.58 | −0.04 | +0.61 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Adrian Kempe R | 18:04 | +0.35 | −0.07 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.66 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 19:49 | 1 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.03 | +0.43 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.10 | −0.00 |
| Alex Turcotte C | 7:08 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 21:11 | +0.06 | +0.13 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 16:41 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.05 | −0.00 | |
| Warren Foegele L | 14:25 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 19:17 | −0.07 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 23:29 | −0.08 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 18:26 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Joel Armia R | 9:51 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.09 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Cody Ceci D | 19:37 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 16:28 | −0.20 | +0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:41 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.14 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.16 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 25:48 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.32 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 64:23 | −0.98 |
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 20:14 | 3 | +2.50 | −0.01 | +2.29 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.22 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 15:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.01 | +0.76 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Jack Eichel C | 22:04 | 1 | 3 | +0.41 | +0.20 | +0.26 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.32 |
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 14:26 | +0.20 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:19 | +0.13 | +0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 13:23 | +0.05 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 11:40 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 20:11 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:47 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 12:49 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kaedan Korczak D | 14:25 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Stone R | 17:54 | 2 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.43 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 24:23 | −0.19 | +0.14 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 19:30 | −0.21 | +0.04 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 16:39 | −0.32 | −0.19 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Noah Hanifin D | 24:00 | −0.35 | −0.26 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 11:23 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Mitch Marner R | 22:48 | 2 | −0.59 | +0.19 | −0.36 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill G | 64:53 | −3.47 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.