NJD beat BOS 5–4 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Brian Dumoulin scored at 1:30 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jeremy Swayman allowed 1.6 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:25 |  NJD | Timo Meier from Brett Pesce, Luke Hughes | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 8:43 | BOS | Morgan GeekiePP from David Pastrnak, Nikita Zadorov | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P2 0:29 | BOS | David Pastrnak from Elias Lindholm | 1–2 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 4:07 | NJD | Stefan NoesenPP from Nico Hischier, Timo Meier | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 4:37 | NJD | Simon Nemec from Marc McLaughlin | 3–2 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 13:37 | NJD | Dawson MercerPP from Nico Hischier, Luke Hughes | 4–2 | 70% → 86% |
| P2 16:53 | BOS | John Farinacci from Jakub Lauko | 4–3 | 12% → 29% |
| P3 5:08 | BOS | Marat Khusnutdinov from Fabian Lysell, Nikita Zadorov | 4–4 | 24% → 52% |
| OT 1:30 | NJD | Brian Dumoulin from Dawson Mercer, Timo Meier | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Nemec D | 14:34 | 1 | +1.04 | +0.06 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Dawson Mercer C | 20:25 | 1 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.27 | +0.57 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 20:27 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.15 | +0.71 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Stefan Noesen R | 17:23 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.02 | +0.42 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Timo Meier R | 21:52 | 1 | 2 | +0.38 | +0.16 | +0.22 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nico Hischier C | 20:39 | 2 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tomas Tatar L | 11:58 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 21:21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ondrej Palat L | 2:51 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 17:06 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Pesce D | 21:35 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marc McLaughlin C | 9:59 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Haula L | 17:59 | −0.10 | +0.17 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nolan Foote L | 9:41 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Hughes D | 24:39 | 2 | −0.15 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cody Glass C | 13:26 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 13:11 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 21:41 | −0.44 | −0.05 | −0.41 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 61:30 | −1.34 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak R | 21:01 | 1 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.19 | +0.75 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| John Farinacci C | 10:58 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.04 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 18:54 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.13 | +0.76 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 14:42 | 1 | +0.48 | +0.03 | +0.46 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Henri Jokiharju D | 24:06 | +0.20 | +0.25 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 15:32 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Fraser Minten C | 14:30 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Vinni Lettieri C | 12:50 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 20:29 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Lauko C | 12:26 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Frederic Brunet D | 14:23 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 22:38 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fabian Lysell R | 14:24 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 15:56 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 20:57 | 2 | −0.20 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:18 | −0.25 | +0.23 | −0.48 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 19:25 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cole Koepke L | 11:27 | −0.35 | −0.05 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 71:27 | −1.63 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.