VAN beat SJS 2–1 in overtime. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 5.7 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk scored at 4:42 of overtime, moving VAN’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Alexandar Georgiev saved 2.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 4:20 | SJS | Macklin CelebriniPP from Tyler Toffoli, Luca Cagnoni | 1–0 | 48% → 67% |
| P3 9:03 | VAN | Linus Karlsson from Teddy Blueger, Drew O'Connor | 1–1 | 21% → 52% |
| OT 4:42 | VAN | Jake DeBrusk from Brock Boeser, Quinn Hughes | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini C | 18:40 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.25 | +0.62 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Barclay Goodrow C | 16:43 | +0.09 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.04 | ||
| Jimmy Schuldt D | 15:55 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Lund C | 10:06 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Gregor L | 13:43 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nikolai Kovalenko R | 14:05 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Cagnoni D | 17:44 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 12:30 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lucas Carlsson D | 19:25 | −0.26 | −0.22 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Smith C | 18:14 | −0.28 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 14:27 | −0.29 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 10:38 | −0.31 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.03 | ||
| Henry Thrun D | 24:26 | −0.33 | −0.27 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 18:11 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.50 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.01 | |
| Timothy Liljegren D | 26:58 | −0.61 | −0.38 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Danil Gushchin L | 12:25 | −0.71 | −0.37 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Eklund L | 21:15 | −0.79 | −0.82 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 26:02 | −1.06 | −1.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 74:32 | +2.45 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Karlsson C | 13:48 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.28 | +0.38 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:59 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.44 | +0.41 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Conor Garland R | 22:01 | +0.48 | +0.49 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 32:16 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.97 | −0.56 | +0.08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Hronek D | 26:24 | +0.23 | +0.36 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 15:13 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.21 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Kirill Kudryavtsev D | 13:33 | +0.13 | +0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 18:23 | +0.11 | +0.16 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 17:55 | +0.08 | +0.15 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aatu Räty C | 12:09 | +0.03 | +0.09 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 20:48 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.53 | −0.50 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Pettersson D | 15:32 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ty Mueller C | 10:57 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Dakota Joshua C | 11:08 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Hoglander L | 12:52 | −0.10 | +0.07 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 23:42 | −0.18 | +0.65 | −0.98 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.04 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 16:23 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.28 | −0.56 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Victor Mancini D | 17:32 | −0.55 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.59 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tolopilo G | 74:15 | +0.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.