CHI beat MTL 4–3 in a shootout. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 3.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Juraj Slafkovský scored on the power play at 17:03 of the third, moving MTL’s win probability from 10% to 51%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:00 | MTL | Alex Newhook from Ivan Demidov, Joel Armia | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 13:32 | MTL | Ivan Demidov from Joel Armia, Mike Matheson | 0–2 | 70% → 84% |
| P1 18:40 | CHI | Tyler BertuzziPP from Frank Nazar, Connor Bedard | 1–2 | 15% → 29% |
| P2 16:41 | CHI | Frank NazarPP from Teuvo Teravainen, Sam Rinzel | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| P3 5:39 | CHI | Lukas Reichel from Landon Slaggert, Joe Veleno | 3–2 | 48% → 76% |
| P3 17:03 | MTL | Juraj SlafkovskýPP from Cole Caufield, Lane Hutson | 3–3 | 10% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Nazar C | 21:15 | 1 | 1 | +1.16 | +0.14 | +0.31 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.66 |
| Lukas Reichel L | 9:28 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.18 | +0.33 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 26:02 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.42 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 9:16 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.16 | −0.19 | +0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Alex Vlasic D | 25:01 | +0.14 | +0.22 | +0.00 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 27:46 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.40 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 14:28 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.14 | +0.18 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Joe Veleno C | 9:25 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.12 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 13:27 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 19:13 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.22 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 18:33 | −0.02 | +0.21 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 14:01 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 18:28 | −0.11 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 15:44 | −0.12 | +0.05 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 19:05 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 19:36 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.06 | −0.18 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.11 | |
| Artyom Levshunov D | 20:27 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 12:55 | −0.22 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 65:00 | +0.41 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook C | 15:38 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.06 | +0.30 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Ivan Demidov R | 16:56 | 1 | 1 | +0.38 | −0.05 | +0.29 | +0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 |
| David Savard D | 12:18 | +0.30 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Juraj Slafkovský L | 20:51 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.10 | +0.26 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jayden Struble D | 13:02 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 6:52 | 2 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.26 | +0.32 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jake Evans C | 12:02 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Oliver Kapanen C | 9:08 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brendan Gallagher R | 17:00 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 17:35 | −0.21 | −0.23 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.00 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 16:00 | −0.24 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mike Matheson D | 28:59 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kaiden Guhle D | 19:15 | −0.34 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Suzuki C | 28:13 | −0.34 | +0.07 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.33 | ||
| Alexandre Carrier D | 20:40 | −0.35 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lane Hutson D | 28:51 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.39 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrik Laine L | 15:17 | −0.49 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.29 | ||
| Cole Caufield R | 23:42 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.25 | −0.07 | +0.16 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault G | 77:57 | +0.18 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.