BOS beat PIT 4–1. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Elias Lindholm scored at 19:57 of the first, moving BOS’s win probability from 47% to 66%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 19:57 | BOS | Elias Lindholm from David Pastrnak, Henri Jokiharju | 1–0 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 8:52 | BOS | Fabian LysellPP from Pavel Zacha, Marat Khusnutdinov | 2–0 | 69% → 84% |
| P2 11:56 | BOS | Morgan Geekie from David Pastrnak, Elias Lindholm | 3–0 | 85% → 96% |
| P2 19:44 | PIT | Rickard RakellPP from Philip Tomasino, Ville Koivunen | 3–1 | 3% → 11% |
| P3 17:30 | BOS | Jakub LaukoEN from Pavel Zacha, Nikita Zadorov | 4–1 | 99% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Geekie C | 15:03 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.04 | +0.75 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Fabian Lysell R | 11:47 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.09 | +0.39 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 16:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.53 | +0.04 | +0.44 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 |
| Mason Lohrei D | 20:01 | +0.29 | +0.11 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Henri Jokiharju D | 20:59 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 19:56 | +0.18 | +0.21 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 19:45 | +0.10 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 17:19 | 2 | +0.06 | +0.11 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Ian Mitchell D | 15:03 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Lauko C | 12:55 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 14:22 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Fraser Minten C | 16:15 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 18:16 | 2 | −0.16 | +0.10 | −0.30 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 16:32 | −0.19 | +0.18 | −0.35 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Cole Koepke L | 12:32 | −0.24 | +0.15 | −0.37 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 19:21 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.40 | +0.00 | |
| Riley Duran C | 11:51 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Vinni Lettieri C | 14:18 | −0.36 | +0.22 | −0.57 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 69:51 | +0.69 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell R | 21:19 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.24 | +0.55 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Dewar C | 13:24 | +0.09 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Valtteri Puustinen R | 9:50 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 11:40 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Shea D | 16:35 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joona Koppanen L | 8:44 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Hayes R | 10:53 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Evgeni Malkin C | 16:00 | −0.10 | −0.26 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.20 | −0.02 | ||
| Philip Tomasino C | 12:07 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Conor Timmins D | 22:49 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 21:59 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.17 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 15:30 | −0.18 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vasily Ponomarev C | 11:43 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 24:03 | −0.25 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 24:25 | −0.27 | −0.20 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ville Koivunen R | 17:47 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.01 | |
| Bryan Rust R | 19:31 | −0.46 | −0.11 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kris Letang D | 17:21 | −0.61 | −0.17 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.40 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry G | 69:47 | +0.49 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.