WPG beat CHI 5–4 in a shootout. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 4.6 to 3.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Josh Morrissey scored at 16:13 of the third, moving WPG’s win probability from 10% to 49%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:40 | CHI | Nick FolignoSH unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 13:21 | CHI | Connor BedardPP from Sam Rinzel, Frank Nazar | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P2 11:15 | WPG | Nino NiederreiterPP from Dylan Samberg, Neal Pionk | 1–2 | 12% → 26% |
| P2 16:03 | WPG | Kyle Connor from Alex Iafallo | 2–2 | 24% → 47% |
| P3 2:08 | WPG | Josh Morrissey from Vladislav Namestnikov, Cole Perfetti | 3–2 | 48% → 74% |
| P3 10:53 | CHI | Ryan Donato from Connor Bedard, Alex Vlasic | 3–3 | 19% → 52% |
| P3 14:05 | CHI | Frank Nazar from Tyler Bertuzzi, Artyom Levshunov | 3–4 | 51% → 87% |
| P3 16:13 | WPG | Josh Morrissey from Dylan DeMelo, Kyle Connor | 4–4 | 10% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Morrissey D | 30:26 | 2 | +1.58 | +0.03 | +1.56 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Connor L | 22:19 | 1 | 1 | +1.11 | −0.17 | +0.53 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.78 |
| Cole Perfetti C | 17:36 | 1 | +0.90 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.01 | |
| Nino Niederreiter R | 20:21 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.33 | +0.35 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Neal Pionk D | 23:02 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.52 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Samberg D | 22:06 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.47 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Tanev L | 11:00 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 9:01 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 18:38 | −0.02 | +0.55 | −0.52 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Logan Stanley D | 12:00 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 13:17 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 16:41 | −0.08 | +0.25 | −0.52 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 23:59 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Barron C | 9:51 | −0.20 | +0.24 | −0.68 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Jaret Anderson-Dolan C | 9:10 | −0.21 | +0.22 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 18:53 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.08 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 18:01 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.12 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Mark Scheifele C | 23:35 | −1.12 | +0.07 | −0.86 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 74:56 | −0.16 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard C | 25:02 | 1 | 1 | +0.92 | −0.53 | +0.49 | +0.04 | −0.05 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.78 |
| Nick Foligno L | 16:01 | 1 | +0.55 | −0.12 | +0.68 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Frank Nazar C | 18:46 | 1 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.08 | +0.34 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 |
| Ryan Donato C | 20:15 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.35 | +0.84 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.32 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 13:48 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 19:25 | +0.05 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Landon Slaggert L | 11:30 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 26:06 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Philipp Kurashev C | 12:53 | −0.15 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 17:58 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 19:56 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oliver Moore C | 15:51 | −0.22 | −0.14 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 17:31 | −0.26 | +0.23 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 23:51 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.36 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Maroon L | 12:07 | −0.56 | +0.02 | −0.58 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 19:46 | −0.59 | −0.24 | −0.36 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 11:07 | −0.65 | +0.02 | −0.43 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 17:55 | −0.68 | −0.08 | −0.41 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 74:45 | −0.48 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.