CHI beat BOS 5–2. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 1.8 to 3.0 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Ryan Donato scored at 3:14 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 74%. Jeremy Swayman allowed 2.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:39 | BOS | David Pastrnak from Elias Lindholm, Morgan Geekie | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P2 7:55 | CHI | Nick Foligno unassisted | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| P3 3:14 | CHI | Ryan Donato from Philipp Kurashev, Sam Rinzel | 2–1 | 48% → 74% |
| P3 4:23 | CHI | Tyler Bertuzzi unassisted | 3–1 | 75% → 92% |
| P3 4:47 | CHI | Kevin Korchinski from Connor Bedard, Oliver Moore | 4–1 | 92% → 98% |
| P3 11:08 | BOS | Morgan Geekie from David Pastrnak | 4–2 | 1% → 4% |
| P3 19:33 | CHI | Nick FolignoEN from Alex Vlasic | 5–2 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Foligno L | 14:05 | 2 | +0.84 | −0.02 | +0.85 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 13:45 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.82 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Korchinski D | 15:49 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.07 | +0.82 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 17:28 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.06 | +0.68 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Philipp Kurashev C | 11:41 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Oliver Moore C | 15:23 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 14:53 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethan Del Mastro D | 20:38 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 22:07 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Maroon L | 11:17 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 12:25 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Landon Slaggert L | 10:38 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 24:54 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Frank Nazar C | 18:02 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:48 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 17:14 | −0.23 | −0.07 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 20:22 | −0.35 | +0.03 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 17:51 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.01 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.40 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 60:00 | +1.27 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Geekie C | 16:45 | 1 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.11 | +0.56 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| David Pastrnak R | 17:22 | 1 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.06 | +0.35 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 |
| Riley Duran C | 13:36 | +0.14 | +0.07 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 17:19 | +0.08 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Michael Callahan D | 15:19 | +0.06 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 15:37 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 16:38 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Henri Jokiharju D | 21:29 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Lauko C | 10:13 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 20:00 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 24:06 | −0.03 | +0.10 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Beecher C | 10:27 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Cole Koepke L | 12:02 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 18:50 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.12 | −0.52 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.02 | |
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 16:59 | −0.21 | +0.03 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.05 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 20:38 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fabian Lysell R | 15:27 | −0.36 | −0.04 | −0.31 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fraser Minten C | 16:07 | −0.73 | +0.03 | −0.54 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 65:39 | −2.37 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.