MIN beat SJS 8–7 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov scored at 1:01 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 4.0 goals more than expected.
Shots on goal
31 – 44
Expected goals
2.8 – 3.7
xG share
MIN 57%
Home-ice start
MIN 53%
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
SJS goalMIN goal
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
SJSMIN
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Marc-Andre Fleury
61:01 TOI
GSAx −3.97
−3.97
Alexandar Georgiev
69:00 TOI
GSAx −3.69
−3.69
0 G, 1 A · 22:25 TOI
On-ice −0.22 · Finishing −0.16 · Playmaking +0.05 · Penalties −0.20 · Faceoffs −0.08
−0.62
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 12:11 | SJS | Tyler Toffoli from William Eklund, Alexander Wennberg | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 14:16 | MIN | Marcus Johansson from Frederick Gaudreau, Gustav Nyquist | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P1 18:48 | MIN | Brock Faber from Matt Boldy | 1–2 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 7:29 | SJS | Macklin Celebrini from Jack Thompson, Will Smith | 2–2 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 7:47 | MIN | Joel Eriksson Ek from Marcus Foligno, Matt Boldy | 2–3 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 8:35 | SJS | Carl Grundstrom from Cam Lund | 3–3 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 12:28 | SJS | Macklin Celebrini from Will Smith, Timothy Liljegren | 4–3 | 47% → 69% |
| P2 17:02 | MIN | Kirill KaprizovPP from Mats Zuccarello, Marco Rossi | 4–4 | 30% → 53% |
| P2 19:48 | MIN | Joel Eriksson EkPP from Marco Rossi, Matt Boldy | 4–5 | 53% → 77% |
| P3 1:02 | MIN | Joel Eriksson EkPP from Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello | 4–6 | 78% → 92% |
| P3 2:06 | MIN | Joel Eriksson Ek from Matt Boldy, Marcus Foligno | 4–7 | 93% → 99% |
| P3 4:44 | SJS | Nikolai Kovalenko from Macklin Celebrini, Henry Thrun | 5–7 | 1% → 6% |
| P3 10:02 | SJS | Macklin Celebrini from Will Smith, Jack Thompson | 6–7 | 4% → 17% |
| P3 19:08 | SJS | Will SmithPP from Timothy Liljegren, Macklin Celebrini | 7–7 | 4% → 50% |
| OT 1:01 | MIN | Kirill Kaprizov from Mats Zuccarello, Jared Spurgeon | 7–8 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini C | 19:09 | 3 | 2 | +1.47 | +0.20 | +1.14 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Will Smith C | 20:44 | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.08 | +0.69 | +0.53 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Nikolai Kovalenko R | 16:19 | 1 | +0.39 | −0.02 | +0.37 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 11:48 | 1 | +0.32 | +0.11 | +0.28 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Toffoli C | 17:48 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.06 | +0.32 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Cam Lund C | 7:54 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Thompson D | 20:34 | 2 | +0.14 | +0.10 | −0.09 | +0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mario Ferraro D | 18:04 | +0.12 | +0.05 | −0.06 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack Ostapchuk C | 8:18 | +0.05 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Timothy Liljegren D | 25:57 | 2 | −0.06 | −0.27 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Gregor L | 8:43 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 12:52 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Eklund L | 17:49 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.22 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Henry Thrun D | 22:25 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lucas Carlsson D | 19:42 | −0.24 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 14:44 | −0.37 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 13:25 | −0.39 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.20 | −0.03 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 22:25 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.22 | −0.16 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.08 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 69:00 | −3.69 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 20:04 | 4 | +1.53 | +0.28 | +1.34 | −0.14 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Mats Zuccarello C | 19:41 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.32 | −0.15 | +0.53 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 19:28 | 2 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.28 | +0.39 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Matt Boldy L | 19:55 | 4 | +0.76 | +0.21 | −0.17 | +0.50 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Marco Rossi C | 19:02 | 2 | +0.41 | +0.19 | −0.09 | +0.17 | −0.01 | +0.20 | −0.04 | |
| Brock Faber D | 24:02 | 1 | +0.39 | −0.05 | +0.45 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Johansson L | 13:34 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.08 | +0.44 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jared Spurgeon D | 21:27 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.14 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 11:29 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Ryan Hartman R | 13:26 | +0.11 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.03 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 16:07 | 2 | +0.10 | +0.01 | −0.15 | +0.23 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gustav Nyquist R | 11:45 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonas Brodin D | 23:13 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 11:18 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Declan Chisholm D | 19:38 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 12:39 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 13:07 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Bogosian D | 12:49 | −0.17 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 61:01 | −3.97 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.