MIN beat DAL 3–2 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Marco Rossi scored on the power play at 0:58 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 54% to 100%. Filip Gustavsson saved 1.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 5:51 |  DAL | Jason Robertson from Mikko Rantanen, Esa Lindell | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P3 3:08 | MIN | Matt Boldy from Ryan Hartman, Jared Spurgeon | 1–1 | 26% → 52% |
| P3 5:00 | MIN | Marcus Foligno from Marco Rossi, Matt Boldy | 1–2 | 52% → 80% |
| P3 13:05 | DAL | Thomas Harley from Mason Marchment, Matt Duchene | 2–2 | 15% → 49% |
| OT 0:58 | MIN | Marco RossiPP from Mats Zuccarello, Matt Boldy | 2–3 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harley D | 24:52 | 1 | +0.17 | −0.08 | +0.38 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oskar Bäck C | 7:53 | +0.13 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 23:33 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Roope Hintz C | 16:25 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 15:49 | −0.05 | −0.12 | −0.26 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.40 | −0.02 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 15:22 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.01 | |
| Sam Steel C | 13:04 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 18:17 | −0.10 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 20:38 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.10 | +0.46 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.40 | +0.00 | |
| Mavrik Bourque C | 10:32 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 12:22 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.29 | −0.05 | +0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 13:03 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Lyubushkin D | 21:26 | −0.20 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikko Rantanen R | 19:45 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.09 | −0.33 | +0.21 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Wyatt Johnston C | 22:10 | −0.29 | −0.12 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Mathew Dumba D | 14:28 | −0.33 | +0.03 | −0.21 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lian Bichsel D | 11:30 | −0.37 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 15:49 | −0.45 | −0.13 | −0.24 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 60:58 | +0.93 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy L | 24:35 | 1 | 2 | +0.59 | +0.41 | +0.13 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Marco Rossi C | 17:44 | 1 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.14 | +0.18 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Marcus Foligno L | 17:28 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.15 | +0.28 | −0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Declan Chisholm D | 16:52 | +0.28 | +0.40 | −0.02 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 20:54 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.28 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mats Zuccarello C | 20:52 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.12 | −0.08 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 11:00 | +0.12 | +0.20 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 13:28 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.12 | −0.12 | +0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jon Merrill D | 9:37 | −0.01 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devin Shore C | 7:12 | −0.07 | +0.07 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Zach Bogosian D | 12:03 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 7:46 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 25:45 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.09 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 9:08 | −0.14 | +0.11 | −0.19 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 19:08 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 15:46 | −0.21 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 20:50 | −0.34 | −0.04 | −0.19 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Brock Faber D | 25:31 | −0.41 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson G | 60:58 | +1.09 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.