NYI beat WSH 4–1. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 3.3 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Bo Horvat scored at 7:06 of the first, moving NYI’s win probability from 53% to 70%. Ilya Sorokin saved 1.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:06 | NYI | Bo Horvat from Simon Holmstrom, Anders Lee | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 9:00 | NYI | Marc Gatcomb from Kyle MacLean, Alexander Romanov | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P2 7:26 | WSH | Alex OvechkinPP from Tom Wilson, Dylan Strome | 1–2 | 13% → 27% |
| P2 10:26 | NYI | Marc Gatcomb from Matt Martin, Kyle MacLean | 1–3 | 74% → 88% |
| P3 4:20 | NYI | Jean-Gabriel Pageau unassisted | 1–4 | 94% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin L | 16:10 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.05 | +0.48 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Sandin D | 20:23 | +0.37 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.40 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 17:19 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 13:54 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 13:44 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 12:50 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 12:49 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| John Carlson D | 22:09 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 20:28 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 18:17 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor McMichael L | 17:39 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 20:31 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Leonard R | 14:21 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 19:37 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 13:48 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.02 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 15:17 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.03 | −0.39 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 16:20 | −0.47 | −0.12 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.02 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 11:11 | −0.65 | +0.02 | −0.67 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren G | 60:00 | −1.44 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gatcomb C | 11:00 | 2 | +1.31 | +0.01 | +1.31 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bo Horvat C | 18:37 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.10 | +0.55 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | −0.01 | |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 16:38 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.03 | +0.63 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Ryan Pulock D | 18:41 | +0.22 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Dobson D | 19:30 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Holmstrom R | 16:21 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Pelech D | 18:15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle MacLean C | 11:07 | 2 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Martin L | 9:39 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Pierre Engvall L | 14:26 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 19:01 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hudson Fasching R | 13:46 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 20:34 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.16 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anders Lee C | 16:47 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.09 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 24:06 | −0.09 | +0.17 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 14:43 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.09 | ||
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 16:11 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 18:12 | −0.31 | +0.05 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 60:00 | +1.88 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.