NYR beat MIN 5–4 in overtime. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Vincent Trocheck scored at 0:24 of overtime, moving NYR’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Filip Gustavsson allowed 2.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:00 | MIN | Gustav NyquistPP from Marcus Johansson, Mats Zuccarello | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 12:45 | NYR | Braden Schneider from Urho Vaakanainen, Artemi Panarin | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P1 15:00 | MIN | Brock Faber from Marcus Johansson, Frederick Gaudreau | 2–1 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 2:51 | NYR | K'Andre Miller from J.T. Miller, Will Borgen | 2–2 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 7:21 | NYR | Chris Kreider unassisted | 2–3 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 9:50 | MIN | Marcus JohanssonSH from Gustav Nyquist, Brock Faber | 3–3 | 26% → 46% |
| P2 18:56 | NYR | Artemi Panarin unassisted | 3–4 | 52% → 77% |
| P3 0:22 | MIN | Marco Rossi from Matt Boldy | 4–4 | 23% → 48% |
| OT 0:24 | NYR | Vincent Trocheck from Artemi Panarin, K'Andre Miller | 4–5 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Johansson L | 20:51 | 1 | 2 | +0.90 | −0.05 | +0.75 | +0.40 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Gustav Nyquist R | 16:13 | 1 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.06 | +0.37 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Brock Faber D | 27:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.24 | −0.26 | +0.46 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Marco Rossi C | 16:46 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.02 | +0.16 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.20 | −0.12 | |
| Zach Bogosian D | 12:25 | +0.07 | +0.12 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 22:46 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 18:14 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 12:19 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 14:18 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Declan Chisholm D | 8:31 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Middleton D | 25:10 | −0.11 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 6:37 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 8:57 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 20:26 | −0.18 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.08 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devin Shore C | 7:31 | −0.20 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 19:21 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.12 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Matt Boldy L | 19:19 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.34 | +0.22 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.02 | |
| Marcus Foligno L | 16:01 | −0.31 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson G | 60:24 | −2.11 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K'Andre Miller D | 22:04 | 1 | 1 | +1.04 | +0.11 | +0.44 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.40 | +0.00 |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 21:01 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.43 | +0.27 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.13 | |
| Artemi Panarin L | 19:09 | 1 | 2 | +0.68 | +0.19 | +0.13 | +0.37 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Braden Schneider D | 17:06 | 1 | +0.58 | +0.11 | +0.44 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brennan Othmann L | 11:47 | +0.36 | +0.20 | −0.09 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 14:01 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.07 | +0.38 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| J.T. Miller C | 18:49 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.16 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.02 | |
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 16:38 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Berard L | 9:20 | +0.14 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 11:11 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 16:11 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carson Soucy D | 17:14 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 23:56 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabe Perreault R | 13:38 | −0.13 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 17:14 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 15:34 | −0.23 | +0.06 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 18:38 | −0.34 | −0.19 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Will Cuylle L | 14:56 | −0.46 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 60:24 | −1.71 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.