PHI beat NSH 2–1. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jamie Drysdale scored at 13:48 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 53% to 75%. Ivan Fedotov saved 2.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 8:50 | PHI | Ryan Poehling from Travis Konecny, Matvei Michkov | 0–1 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 13:14 | NSH | Zachary L'Heureux from Michael McCarron, Brady Skjei | 1–1 | 25% → 47% |
| P2 13:48 | PHI | Jamie Drysdale from Matvei Michkov, Travis Konecny | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary L'Heureux L | 15:06 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.07 | +0.53 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Barron D | 19:47 | +0.18 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 17:01 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.03 | |
| Spencer Stastney D | 12:03 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Englund D | 11:50 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Steven Stamkos C | 19:47 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Marc Del Gaizo D | 15:29 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Vrana L | 10:41 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 18:52 | −0.16 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 17:05 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 20:25 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 19:03 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.14 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 14:15 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fedor Svechkov C | 15:02 | −0.24 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Brady Skjei D | 19:53 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Bunting L | 17:36 | −0.38 | −0.03 | −0.35 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kieffer Bellows L | 12:38 | −0.51 | +0.03 | −0.54 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Blankenburg D | 23:05 | −0.57 | −0.22 | −0.35 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Justus Annunen G | 58:22 | +0.38 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Drysdale D | 18:47 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.03 | +0.74 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 15:58 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.05 | +0.64 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jakob Pelletier L | 12:18 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 17:46 | +0.17 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 18:10 | +0.12 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 19:59 | +0.09 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 15:17 | 2 | +0.08 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 24:30 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 18:09 | +0.02 | +0.21 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 18:17 | −0.02 | +0.10 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 14:46 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 12:10 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 10:52 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olle Lycksell R | 10:26 | −0.14 | +0.04 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 18:01 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 26:24 | −0.24 | +0.14 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 17:01 | 2 | −0.40 | +0.04 | −0.43 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rodrigo Abols C | 9:09 | −0.42 | +0.07 | −0.52 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov G | 60:00 | +1.95 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.