SEA beat EDM 6–1. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz scored on the power play at 1:18 of the second, moving SEA’s win probability from 54% to 72%. Calvin Pickard allowed 2.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | EDM–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:18 | SEA | Jaden SchwartzPP from Andre Burakovsky, Jared McCann | 0–1 | 54% → 72% |
| P2 3:24 | SEA | Jaden Schwartz unassisted | 0–2 | 72% → 86% |
| P2 10:50 | SEA | Jani Nyman from Adam Larsson, Vince Dunn | 0–3 | 89% → 96% |
| P2 11:06 | SEA | Matty Beniers from Kaapo Kakko, Jani Nyman | 0–4 | 96% → 99% |
| P2 12:41 | SEA | Andre Burakovsky from Ryker Evans | 0–5 | 99% → 99% |
| P3 4:59 | EDM | Zach Hyman unassisted | 1–5 | 0% → 0% |
| P3 8:53 | SEA | Jared McCann from Michael Eyssimont, Adam Larsson | 1–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Hyman L | 17:33 | 1 | +0.48 | +0.00 | +0.48 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ty Emberson D | 14:27 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 13:47 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 16:10 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Troy Stecher D | 7:37 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 11:35 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 16:18 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Max Jones L | 12:29 | −0.08 | +0.04 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 18:10 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Kulak D | 20:05 | −0.16 | +0.10 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Darnell Nurse D | 25:39 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Janmark C | 16:30 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Connor Brown R | 13:54 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 15:03 | −0.25 | +0.04 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 21:49 | −0.40 | −0.13 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 17:56 | −0.41 | −0.08 | −0.39 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Evan Bouchard D | 17:39 | −0.45 | −0.04 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Skinner L | 16:40 | −0.60 | +0.00 | −0.56 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Olivier Rodrigue G | 20:00 | +0.34 |
| Calvin Pickard G | 40:00 | −2.71 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Schwartz C | 16:33 | 2 | +1.16 | +0.11 | +1.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jared McCann L | 18:12 | 1 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.06 | +0.45 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.20 | +0.06 |
| Jani Nyman R | 13:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.05 | +0.75 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 14:59 | 1 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.05 | +0.69 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Matty Beniers C | 17:34 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.06 | +0.49 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Michael Eyssimont C | 11:28 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.20 | −0.01 | |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 20:12 | +0.15 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryker Evans D | 20:44 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.03 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 18:33 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.13 | −0.09 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Larsson D | 20:36 | 2 | +0.02 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Shane Wright C | 16:45 | −0.03 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.03 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 10:24 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| John Hayden C | 10:57 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 16:25 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 15:39 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 14:38 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.05 | −0.28 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Brandon Montour D | 20:15 | −0.40 | +0.04 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 14:48 | −0.46 | −0.00 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 60:00 | +2.04 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.