VAN beat NJD 4–3 in a shootout. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 3.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Conor Garland scored on the power play at 19:24 of the third, moving VAN’s win probability from 4% to 49%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:09 | VAN | Pius Suter from Marcus Pettersson | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 10:24 |  NJD | Timo MeierPP from Dawson Mercer, Jesper Bratt | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P3 11:02 | NJD | Timo Meier from Brenden Dillon, Nico Hischier | 1–2 | 52% → 84% |
| P3 11:47 | VAN | Jonathan Lekkerimäki from Derek Forbort, Nils Aman | 2–2 | 15% → 48% |
| P3 13:25 | NJD | Erik Haula from Brian Dumoulin | 2–3 | 51% → 86% |
| P3 19:24 | VAN | Conor GarlandPP from Pius Suter, Jake DeBrusk | 3–3 | 4% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki R | 9:52 | 1 | +1.75 | +0.11 | +0.65 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +1.01 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 21:48 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.05 | −0.33 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.66 | |
| Conor Garland R | 18:53 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.08 | +0.52 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.39 | |
| Pius Suter C | 23:02 | 1 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.43 | +0.28 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.49 |
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 14:02 | +0.08 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 19:07 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Linus Karlsson C | 11:28 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 15:32 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nils Aman C | 10:09 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.09 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 21:57 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 22:58 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Aatu Räty C | 12:07 | −0.08 | +0.07 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Victor Mancini D | 12:23 | −0.12 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 16:46 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.28 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 25:48 | −0.32 | +0.25 | −0.56 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dakota Joshua C | 11:02 | −0.34 | −0.19 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 13:44 | −0.43 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 32:13 | −0.49 | +0.08 | −0.59 | +0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 63:36 | +0.32 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Meier R | 20:13 | 2 | +0.93 | +0.07 | +1.35 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Erik Haula L | 15:15 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.58 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Tomas Tatar L | 10:37 | +0.22 | +0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 18:47 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.21 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 23:28 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.22 | −0.34 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.60 | |
| Nolan Foote L | 8:00 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 24:30 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Dennis Cholowski D | 15:59 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Dowling C | 8:10 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ondrej Palat L | 14:20 | −0.14 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 18:57 | −0.17 | +0.23 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.40 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Stefan Noesen R | 16:05 | −0.22 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 17:25 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | |
| Brenden Dillon D | 20:20 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brett Pesce D | 24:01 | −0.38 | −0.34 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Glass C | 16:24 | −0.42 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 11:54 | −0.42 | +0.32 | −0.39 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Luke Hughes D | 24:35 | −0.70 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 65:00 | +0.10 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.