CHI beat PHI 7–4. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 3.0 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi scored at 2:37 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 53% to 72%. Ivan Fedotov allowed 3.9 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:59 | PHI | Jamie Drysdale from Matvei Michkov, Sean Couturier | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 7:14 | CHI | Patrick Maroon from Nick Foligno, Ilya Mikheyev | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 8:01 | CHI | Joe Veleno from Tyler Bertuzzi, Philipp Kurashev | 1–2 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 8:13 | PHI | Travis Sanheim from Travis Konecny, Matvei Michkov | 2–2 | 30% → 47% |
| P1 11:59 | PHI | Bobby Brink from Noah Cates, Tyson Foerster | 3–2 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 18:12 | CHI | Connor Bedard unassisted | 3–3 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 2:37 | CHI | Tyler Bertuzzi from Philipp Kurashev, Joe Veleno | 3–4 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 6:43 | CHI | Ryan DonatoPP from Teuvo Teravainen, Connor Bedard | 3–5 | 77% → 88% |
| P2 10:14 | PHI | Travis Konecny from Jamie Drysdale, Sean Couturier | 4–5 | 12% → 26% |
| P2 13:27 | CHI | Ryan DonatoPP from Teuvo Teravainen, Tyler Bertuzzi | 4–6 | 75% → 89% |
| P3 2:13 | CHI | Lukas Reichel from Patrick Maroon, Alex Vlasic | 4–7 | 93% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:14 | 1 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.11 | +0.45 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Travis Konecny R | 18:49 | 1 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.06 | +0.41 | +0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Noah Cates L | 16:15 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.02 | |
| Bobby Brink R | 15:00 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.07 | +0.29 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 22:55 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.02 | +0.42 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 17:52 | +0.09 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olle Lycksell R | 13:52 | +0.06 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 23:11 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 12:38 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 15:49 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 16:33 | 2 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.17 | +0.32 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Tyson Foerster R | 17:47 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.16 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 9:45 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 16:19 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 17:19 | 2 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.26 | +0.22 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.09 | |
| Rodrigo Abols C | 10:25 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jakob Pelletier L | 13:10 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 16:07 | −0.31 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov G | 59:41 | −3.90 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Maroon L | 12:38 | 1 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.03 | +0.40 | +0.21 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.02 |
| Joe Veleno C | 17:16 | 1 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.03 | +0.44 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.05 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 17:29 | 1 | 2 | +0.45 | +0.07 | +0.36 | +0.24 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.01 |
| Ryan Donato C | 18:37 | 2 | +0.43 | −0.07 | +0.50 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Lukas Reichel L | 10:27 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.01 | +0.42 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 17:26 | 1 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.07 | +0.38 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Philipp Kurashev C | 11:46 | 2 | +0.25 | +0.02 | −0.07 | +0.30 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 20:18 | +0.18 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.08 | +0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 18:37 | 2 | +0.15 | +0.08 | −0.26 | +0.34 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 14:25 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Frank Nazar C | 14:46 | +0.08 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 17:30 | +0.06 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 16:44 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 19:43 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 20:21 | 1 | +0.00 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 10:44 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:58 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ethan Del Mastro D | 20:29 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 59:46 | −1.20 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.