SJS beat BOS 3–1. SJS also won the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Lucas Carlsson scored at 16:37 of the third, moving SJS’s win probability from 51% to 91%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 2:13 | SJS | William Eklund from Macklin Celebrini, Luca Cagnoni | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 16:50 |  BOS | Casey Mittelstadt from Cole Koepke | 1–1 | 24% → 47% |
| P3 16:37 | SJS | Lucas Carlsson from Will Smith, Macklin Celebrini | 1–2 | 51% → 91% |
| P3 19:10 | SJS | Barclay GoodrowEN from William Eklund, Lucas Carlsson | 1–3 | 96% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 17:08 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.09 | +0.59 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 23:22 | +0.10 | +0.13 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 15:52 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Patrick Brown C | 9:43 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Callahan D | 13:12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 13:50 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Koepke L | 13:14 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.12 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 14:27 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fabian Lysell R | 13:16 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Lauko C | 8:18 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henri Jokiharju D | 22:57 | −0.10 | +0.10 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 20:40 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Beecher C | 12:20 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 21:47 | −0.19 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 20:45 | −0.20 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Vinni Lettieri C | 14:19 | −0.35 | −0.18 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 19:10 | −0.36 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 22:44 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.38 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 58:56 | +0.58 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Carlsson D | 18:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.14 | +0.69 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| William Eklund L | 18:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.03 | +0.57 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Timothy Liljegren D | 18:46 | +0.19 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Smith C | 16:09 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Alexander Wennberg C | 21:15 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.07 | ||
| Collin Graf R | 20:31 | +0.01 | +0.21 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 24:52 | +0.01 | +0.08 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vincent Desharnais D | 16:36 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 8:53 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack Ostapchuk C | 7:17 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Shakir Mukhamadullin D | 24:35 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Giles R | 11:54 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 10:17 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikolai Kovalenko R | 11:35 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Macklin Celebrini C | 19:52 | 2 | −0.25 | +0.12 | −0.36 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Toffoli C | 18:10 | −0.33 | +0.05 | −0.37 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 12:53 | −0.44 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Cagnoni D | 15:16 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.07 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev G | 60:00 | +0.84 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.