WPG beat SEA 3–2 in overtime. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dylan Samberg scored at 1:47 of overtime, moving WPG’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:58 | SEA | Jani NymanPP from Jordan Eberle, Chandler Stephenson | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P1 15:23 | SEA | Michael Eyssimont from Ryker Evans, Brandon Montour | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P1 19:43 |  WPG | Cole Perfetti from Dylan Samberg, Vladislav Namestnikov | 1–2 | 15% → 28% |
| P2 11:42 | WPG | Kyle Connor from Morgan Barron | 2–2 | 26% → 47% |
| OT 1:47 | WPG | Dylan Samberg from Cole Perfetti, Vladislav Namestnikov | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Samberg D | 22:49 | 1 | 1 | +0.93 | +0.44 | +0.49 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Cole Perfetti C | 15:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.26 | +0.34 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 16:42 | 2 | +0.31 | +0.26 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Kyle Connor L | 20:20 | 1 | +0.25 | −0.15 | +0.42 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Schenn D | 17:53 | +0.22 | +0.23 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 14:48 | +0.18 | +0.12 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Barron C | 8:09 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Colin Miller D | 13:56 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 14:03 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 17:56 | −0.04 | +0.08 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 10:19 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 24:18 | −0.04 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Scheifele C | 21:10 | −0.05 | −0.18 | −0.11 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.02 | ||
| Josh Morrissey D | 28:59 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 14:13 | −0.12 | +0.08 | −0.13 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 15:03 | −0.14 | +0.11 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Haydn Fleury D | 11:04 | −0.25 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 12:22 | −0.28 | +0.04 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Comrie G | 51:34 | +0.42 |
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 10:10 | −0.09 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jani Nyman R | 9:19 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.04 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Eyssimont C | 8:25 | 1 | +0.68 | −0.11 | +0.79 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 16:34 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Montour D | 25:03 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 18:55 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.09 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.06 | |
| Jared McCann L | 15:58 | −0.01 | +0.14 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 20:09 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 15:19 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryker Evans D | 16:30 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 12:15 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 11:27 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 8:57 | −0.28 | −0.08 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 19:26 | −0.31 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matty Beniers C | 21:32 | −0.39 | +0.12 | −0.51 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Shane Wright C | 14:21 | −0.40 | −0.29 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 19:53 | −0.50 | −0.32 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 23:05 | −0.53 | −0.06 | −0.28 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 22:13 | −0.53 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 61:47 | −0.22 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.