ANA beat NYI 4–1. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Sam Colangelo scored at 17:52 of the first, moving ANA’s win probability from 53% to 71%. Lukas Dostal saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 17:52 |  ANA | Sam Colangelo from Cutter Gauthier, Mason McTavish | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 14:56 | ANA | Drew Helleson from Pavel Mintyukov, Trevor Zegras | 0–2 | 75% → 90% |
| P3 0:43 | ANA | Mason McTavishPP from Leo Carlsson | 0–3 | 93% → 98% |
| P3 8:18 | ANA | Sam ColangeloEN from Isac Lundeström | 0–4 | 99% → 100% |
| P3 15:10 | NYI | Tony DeAngelo from Maxim Tsyplakov, Adam Boqvist | 1–4 | 0% → 0% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony DeAngelo D | 22:28 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.11 | +0.41 | −0.03 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Pulock D | 14:54 | +0.15 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Hudson Fasching R | 12:24 | +0.12 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Gatcomb C | 9:36 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Adam Boqvist D | 10:30 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.16 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pierre Engvall L | 10:10 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 13:50 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 13:56 | −0.09 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 17:25 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 18:30 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.14 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 20:59 | −0.19 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 16:40 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Noah Dobson D | 23:02 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.14 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 13:54 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anthony Duclair L | 18:56 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 18:48 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.14 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 23:46 | −0.36 | −0.03 | −0.27 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Simon Holmstrom R | 19:27 | −0.43 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Hogberg G | 57:05 | −0.30 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason McTavish C | 14:03 | 1 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.05 | +0.42 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Drew Helleson D | 16:19 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.06 | +0.42 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Colangelo R | 12:33 | 2 | +0.38 | +0.04 | +0.39 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Trevor Zegras C | 16:08 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.07 | −0.06 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.20 | −0.01 | |
| Cutter Gauthier L | 12:31 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.07 | −0.21 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | |
| Leo Carlsson C | 15:41 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.11 | −0.14 | +0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 12:05 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.25 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Radko Gudas D | 23:24 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 14:41 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Olen Zellweger D | 19:08 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 9:53 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 24:01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 16:05 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 17:28 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 21:55 | −0.17 | +0.12 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 20:17 | −0.19 | +0.12 | −0.26 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 15:03 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jansen Harkins C | 13:03 | −0.35 | +0.04 | −0.36 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 59:42 | +1.48 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.