CAR beat DET 2–1. CAR also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 3.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jordan Martinook scored at 18:59 of the first, moving CAR’s win probability from 47% to 65%. Frederik Andersen saved 2.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CAR–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 18:59 |  CAR | Jordan Martinook from Jalen Chatfield | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 1:29 | CAR | Jordan Staal from Jordan Martinook, Shayne Gostisbehere | 2–0 | 66% → 81% |
| P3 10:05 | DET | Elmer Soderblom unassisted | 2–1 | 4% → 20% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CAR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Martinook L | 15:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.77 | −0.03 | +0.80 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Jordan Staal C | 15:56 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.02 | +0.76 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jaccob Slavin D | 23:24 | +0.41 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 21:50 | +0.14 | +0.13 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | 15:24 | +0.07 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Jalen Chatfield D | 19:33 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.10 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Roslovic C | 9:23 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 19:41 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sebastian Aho C | 19:45 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.24 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Mikko Rantanen R | 17:50 | −0.03 | +0.18 | −0.25 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Walker D | 16:50 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Jost C | 7:59 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 16:47 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Seth Jarvis R | 19:56 | −0.30 | +0.12 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Andrei Svechnikov R | 14:50 | −0.47 | +0.05 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.40 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Hall L | 14:07 | −0.48 | +0.07 | −0.58 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson Blake R | 15:44 | −0.49 | +0.10 | −0.59 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Robinson L | 9:10 | −0.52 | −0.08 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Frederik Andersen G | 60:00 | +2.18 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elmer Soderblom L | 16:19 | 1 | +0.92 | −0.02 | +0.75 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | |
| Jonatan Berggren R | 10:52 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Tyler Motte C | 7:02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Fischer R | 10:08 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.01 | ||
| Albert Johansson D | 17:51 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Holl D | 14:02 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 19:16 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 19:58 | −0.12 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 13:48 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Simon Edvinsson D | 22:17 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 21:36 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.25 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 20:28 | −0.34 | −0.13 | −0.08 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Kasper C | 16:22 | −0.37 | −0.11 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 19:13 | −0.39 | −0.14 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 17:35 | −0.42 | −0.12 | −0.28 | −0.03 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 19:04 | −0.45 | −0.04 | −0.42 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 17:03 | −0.52 | −0.10 | −0.45 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 15:44 | −0.64 | −0.10 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon G | 57:22 | +1.66 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.