CHI beat LAK 5–1. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.1 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Ilya Mikheyev scored at 0:46 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 53% to 72%. Spencer Knight saved 2.8 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:57 | CHI | Alec Martinez from Tyler Bertuzzi | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 11:39 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Alex Turcotte, Adrian Kempe | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 0:46 | CHI | Ilya Mikheyev from Teuvo Teravainen, Ryan Donato | 1–2 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 13:30 | CHI | Ethan Del Mastro from Patrick Maroon, Lukas Reichel | 1–3 | 75% → 89% |
| P3 1:20 | CHI | Andreas Athanasiou from Colton Dach | 1–4 | 92% → 99% |
| P3 18:30 | CHI | Ryan DonatoEN from Ilya Mikheyev, Teuvo Teravainen | 1–5 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar C | 18:37 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.04 | +0.56 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 22:19 | +0.25 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 21:44 | +0.05 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 7:10 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 19:25 | +0.04 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 5:14 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 6:07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 24:06 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 19:23 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 17:04 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 15:04 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 17:27 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 21:15 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 16:01 | −0.29 | +0.06 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 6:05 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 18:53 | −0.41 | +0.05 | −0.46 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 19:16 | −0.73 | +0.19 | −0.91 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 22:28 | −0.80 | +0.01 | −0.81 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 58:22 | −1.94 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Del Mastro D | 19:18 | 1 | +1.10 | −0.01 | +0.92 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Alec Martinez D | 15:30 | 1 | +0.84 | −0.10 | +0.93 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:05 | 1 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.10 | +0.54 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 11:15 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.05 | +0.66 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Lukas Reichel L | 11:36 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.03 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 22:36 | +0.06 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 25:10 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 17:19 | +0.00 | +0.11 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 19:14 | 1 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Colton Dach C | 14:30 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 16:06 | −0.06 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 10:43 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 15:29 | 2 | −0.21 | +0.05 | −0.25 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 15:07 | −0.25 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 18:25 | −0.26 | −0.06 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 21:21 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Patrick Maroon L | 11:49 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.14 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 16:33 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.09 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 59:54 | +2.78 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.