NYR beat NYI 4–0. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Will Cuylle scored at 15:03 of the first, moving NYR’s win probability from 53% to 71%. Igor Shesterkin saved 1.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 15:03 |  NYR | Will Cuylle from Zac Jones, J.T. Miller | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P1 19:15 | NYR | Will BorgenSH from Sam Carrick, Will Cuylle | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P3 3:43 | NYR | J.T. Miller from Artemi Panarin | 0–3 | 93% → 99% |
| P3 14:51 | NYR | Artemi PanarinEN from Alexis Lafrenière, Vincent Trocheck | 0–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mayfield D | 9:04 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Boqvist D | 12:11 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle MacLean C | 10:08 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc Gatcomb C | 9:50 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hudson Fasching R | 10:45 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 11:55 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 13:50 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Noah Dobson D | 19:18 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 22:09 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.16 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Pulock D | 16:28 | −0.14 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 20:51 | −0.16 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 19:00 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 19:07 | −0.24 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Holmstrom R | 20:32 | −0.30 | −0.10 | −0.15 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tony DeAngelo D | 23:33 | −0.31 | −0.09 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 19:07 | −0.33 | −0.07 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 18:47 | −0.33 | −0.04 | −0.23 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 22:00 | −0.39 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 57:25 | −0.54 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borgen D | 19:07 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.06 | +0.86 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| J.T. Miller C | 18:19 | 1 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.13 | +0.40 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Will Cuylle L | 18:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.09 | +0.33 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Artemi Panarin L | 17:52 | 1 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.07 | −0.14 | +0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Calvin de Haan D | 16:52 | +0.13 | +0.10 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zac Jones D | 19:14 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 18:36 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 15:02 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.12 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Brett Berard L | 11:27 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 20:22 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.23 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 19:59 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Rempe C | 11:08 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 13:44 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Juuso Parssinen C | 9:58 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 11:32 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Vincent Trocheck C | 19:31 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.11 | −0.23 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| K'Andre Miller D | 22:07 | −0.20 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Brennan Othmann L | 10:19 | −0.20 | −0.08 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 60:00 | +1.86 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.