PHI beat WPG 2–1 in a shootout. PHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 3.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Jamie Drysdale scored at 3:48 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 28% to 47%. Ivan Fedotov saved 2.8 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:58 |  WPG | Mark Scheifele from Gabriel Vilardi, Kyle Connor | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P2 3:48 | PHI | Jamie Drysdale from Noah Cates, Nick Seeler | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Drysdale D | 20:44 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.09 | +0.74 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matvei Michkov R | 17:14 | +0.22 | −0.26 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.78 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 17:17 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cam York D | 21:13 | −0.01 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 17:03 | −0.02 | +0.18 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 16:57 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 19:19 | −0.04 | +0.10 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jakob Pelletier L | 6:18 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 5:59 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 15:32 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 18:35 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 27:47 | −0.20 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 16:06 | −0.23 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 11:09 | −0.27 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 17:22 | −0.29 | +0.09 | −0.38 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 20:05 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.03 | −0.33 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 19:46 | −0.43 | +0.01 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 22:34 | −0.67 | +0.08 | −0.41 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Fedotov G | 65:00 | +2.77 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele C | 23:05 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.19 | +0.39 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.32 | |
| Morgan Barron C | 8:39 | +0.33 | +0.09 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.40 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Logan Stanley D | 13:09 | +0.15 | +0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 15:10 | +0.14 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 8:58 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Josh Morrissey D | 27:37 | +0.03 | +0.21 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 21:15 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 7:39 | −0.04 | +0.11 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 17:31 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 16:21 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dylan Samberg D | 21:24 | −0.18 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 16:08 | −0.19 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 20:29 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.33 | |
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 17:31 | −0.34 | +0.14 | −0.48 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Neal Pionk D | 22:47 | −0.35 | −0.16 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 22:51 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.20 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 | |
| Cole Perfetti C | 16:48 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 15:38 | −0.39 | −0.13 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 65:00 | +1.36 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.