VAN beat LAK 3–2 in overtime. VAN lost the expected-goals battle 1.8 to 3.6 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Conor Garland scored at 4:26 of overtime, moving VAN’s win probability from 48% to 100%. David Rittich allowed 1.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:56 |  VAN | Nils Hoglander from Derek Forbort | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 13:07 | VAN | Conor GarlandPP from Filip Chytil, Dakota Joshua | 2–0 | 70% → 86% |
| P3 9:16 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Vladislav Gavrikov, Quinton Byfield | 2–1 | 5% → 21% |
| P3 14:01 | LAK | Warren Foegele from Jordan Spence, Jacob Moverare | 2–2 | 15% → 53% |
| OT 4:26 | VAN | Conor Garland from Quinn Hughes, Filip Chytil | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Garland R | 17:20 | 2 | +1.55 | −0.12 | +1.45 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Nils Hoglander L | 14:28 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.08 | +0.65 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 21:32 | +0.07 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 13:01 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 19:07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 19:26 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson D | 10:10 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 16:35 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 11:56 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 16:09 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 16:35 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Forbort D | 15:13 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinn Hughes D | 21:38 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.04 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:24 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Dakota Joshua C | 15:51 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pius Suter C | 20:22 | −0.24 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 26:03 | −0.24 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 17:02 | −0.44 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 64:26 | +0.53 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Foegele L | 17:36 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.14 | +0.71 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 26:14 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.12 | +0.64 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Phillip Danault C | 17:42 | +0.33 | +0.24 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 22:56 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.37 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 25:39 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.20 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 26:30 | +0.16 | +0.18 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 11:17 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Spence D | 14:59 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Burroughs D | 2:42 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 11:18 | +0.02 | +0.08 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 11:17 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 16:49 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 21:22 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 6:55 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 20:45 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 18:28 | −0.23 | +0.21 | −0.45 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 22:37 | −0.23 | +0.10 | −0.35 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 18:25 | −0.28 | +0.05 | −0.31 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| David Rittich G | 64:26 | −1.47 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.