DAL beat NYI 4–3. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 3.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jason Robertson scored on the power play at 15:53 of the second, moving DAL’s win probability from 47% to 71%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:10 | DAL | Sam Steel from Oskar Bäck, Cody Ceci | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 3:44 | NYI | Pierre Engvall from Kyle MacLean, Marc Gatcomb | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 8:48 | DAL | Jason Robertson from Roope Hintz, Mavrik Bourque | 2–1 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 8:55 | NYI | Kyle Palmieri from Tony DeAngelo, Brock Nelson | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 15:53 | DAL | Jason RobertsonPP from Roope Hintz, Matt Duchene | 3–2 | 47% → 71% |
| P2 17:28 | DAL | Jason RobertsonPP from Wyatt Johnston, Matt Duchene | 4–2 | 72% → 89% |
| P3 9:17 | NYI | Anthony Duclair from Bo Horvat | 4–3 | 5% → 21% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson L | 16:12 | 3 | +2.62 | +0.33 | +2.05 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Steel C | 13:32 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.12 | +0.59 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lian Bichsel D | 9:00 | +0.15 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 25:29 | +0.10 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mavrik Bourque C | 13:29 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Thomas Harley D | 27:54 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Lyubushkin D | 18:45 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 17:23 | 2 | −0.04 | +0.19 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Mikael Granlund C | 18:11 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 16:06 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.25 | −0.38 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Cody Ceci D | 23:07 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 12:55 | −0.17 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 12:49 | −0.18 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mathew Dumba D | 10:45 | −0.32 | −0.03 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 16:10 | −0.42 | −0.00 | −0.43 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 13:21 | −0.46 | −0.13 | −0.37 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 17:15 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.03 | −0.54 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oskar Bäck C | 11:37 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 60:00 | +0.46 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Engvall L | 9:51 | 1 | +0.65 | −0.09 | +0.75 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 19:58 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.01 | +0.32 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Anthony Duclair L | 13:08 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.02 | +0.52 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Simon Holmstrom R | 18:44 | +0.16 | +0.43 | −0.45 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.01 | ||
| Alexander Romanov D | 22:26 | +0.07 | +0.14 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tony DeAngelo D | 24:37 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.23 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Casey Cizikas C | 7:25 | −0.06 | +0.06 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 10:36 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Pulock D | 20:27 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 16:05 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle MacLean C | 8:11 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 12:48 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 16:10 | −0.11 | +0.07 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Marc Gatcomb C | 9:37 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Pelech D | 18:11 | −0.15 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 23:06 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Scott Perunovich D | 19:11 | −0.32 | −0.10 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 24:22 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.06 | −0.35 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 58:07 | −0.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.