ANA beat LAK 2–1 in a shootout. ANA lost the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 4.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Adrian Kempe scored at 17:21 of the third, moving LAK’s win probability from 9% to 51%. Lukas Dostal saved 4.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 7:04 | ANA | Brian DumoulinPP from Jacob Trouba, Leo Carlsson | 1–0 | 48% → 77% |
| P3 17:21 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Phillip Danault, Warren Foegele | 1–1 | 9% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Zegras C | 18:21 | +0.56 | +0.03 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.66 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 21:09 | 1 | +0.54 | −0.32 | +0.86 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ross Johnston L | 7:35 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew Helleson D | 21:50 | −0.15 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 16:08 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Leo Carlsson C | 17:40 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.35 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.22 | |
| Jacob Trouba D | 25:00 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Strome C | 17:11 | −0.19 | +0.28 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.20 | −0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Olen Zellweger D | 14:53 | −0.21 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 20:13 | −0.22 | +0.10 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 20:44 | −0.25 | +0.04 | −0.45 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Brett Leason R | 11:57 | −0.26 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 16:52 | −0.26 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Cutter Gauthier L | 13:41 | −0.29 | +0.13 | −0.61 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 22:29 | −0.32 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 15:36 | −0.35 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robby Fabbri C | 16:43 | −0.35 | −0.24 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 11:23 | −0.59 | −0.40 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 64:56 | +4.32 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe R | 22:35 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.17 | +0.52 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 31:09 | +0.21 | +0.42 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 8:27 | +0.18 | +0.20 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 12:17 | +0.12 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 19:48 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 26:35 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 13:03 | −0.01 | +0.25 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 20:46 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 2:25 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 10:22 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 7:33 | −0.10 | +0.10 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 19:46 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.11 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | |
| Alex Laferriere R | 23:17 | −0.19 | +0.20 | −0.78 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.40 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 22:41 | −0.21 | −0.07 | −0.24 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 23:52 | −0.25 | +0.46 | −0.75 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 7:35 | −0.37 | +0.10 | −0.47 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 14:35 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.19 | −0.56 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 26:14 | −0.72 | +0.17 | −0.59 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.29 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| David Rittich G | 65:00 | +0.82 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.