SEA beat CGY 3–2 in overtime. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Matty Beniers scored on the power play at 2:58 of overtime, moving SEA’s win probability from 50% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–CGY | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 2:22 |  CGY | Morgan Frost from Yegor Sharangovich, MacKenzie Weegar | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P3 6:37 | CGY | Nazem Kadri from Jonathan Huberdeau, Daniil Miromanov | 0–2 | 80% → 95% |
| P3 13:12 |  SEA | Shane Wright from Adam Larsson, Andre Burakovsky | 1–2 | 2% → 14% |
| P3 15:19 | SEA | Andre Burakovsky from Shane Wright | 2–2 | 11% → 49% |
| OT 2:58 | SEA | Matty BeniersPP from Vince Dunn, Chandler Stephenson | 3–2 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Burakovsky L | 12:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.84 | +0.03 | +0.82 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Shane Wright C | 13:05 | 1 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.05 | +0.69 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Matty Beniers C | 22:53 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.07 | +0.77 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 19:27 | 1 | +0.39 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.40 | +0.05 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 29:18 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.40 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Larsson D | 26:37 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.26 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 22:08 | +0.06 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Montour D | 4:49 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 16:22 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mitchell Stephens C | 10:04 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 19:30 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cale Fleury D | 16:24 | −0.19 | −0.16 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Tanev L | 11:52 | −0.21 | −0.06 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 7:49 | −0.29 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 17:00 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 22:08 | −0.34 | −0.07 | −0.29 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 19:26 | −0.38 | +0.07 | −0.44 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 14:28 | −0.57 | +0.01 | −0.40 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 62:58 | +0.36 |
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri C | 17:50 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.07 | +0.73 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Morgan Frost C | 15:22 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.08 | +0.77 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Andersson D | 24:57 | +0.40 | +0.23 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Huberdeau L | 18:19 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 20:27 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Rooney C | 9:07 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.03 | ||
| Brayden Pachal D | 15:37 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 25:24 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.08 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jake Bean D | 15:58 | −0.11 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Solovyov D | 19:24 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Pospisil C | 7:15 | −0.12 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 16:31 | −0.12 | +0.09 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniil Miromanov D | 19:07 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.07 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Mikael Backlund C | 20:37 | −0.26 | +0.09 | −0.33 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ryan Lomberg L | 7:55 | −0.26 | +0.09 | −0.34 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dryden Hunt L | 12:33 | −0.31 | −0.05 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 19:31 | −0.34 | −0.05 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Coronato R | 17:00 | −0.41 | −0.22 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf G | 62:58 | −0.49 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.