DET beat SEA 5–4 in a shootout. DET also won the expected-goals battle 4.5 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Chandler Stephenson scored at 17:04 of the third, moving SEA’s win probability from 9% to 51%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:36 | DET | Lucas Raymond from Dylan Larkin, Marco Kasper | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 9:28 | SEA | Matty Beniers from Kaapo Kakko | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 19:30 | DET | Moritz SeiderPP from Alex DeBrincat | 2–1 | 48% → 65% |
| P2 6:29 | SEA | Shane Wright from Andre Burakovsky, Cale Fleury | 2–2 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 12:07 | DET | Jonatan BerggrenPP from Andrew Copp | 3–2 | 48% → 69% |
| P3 3:21 | DET | Elmer Soderblom from Joe Veleno, Simon Edvinsson | 4–2 | 75% → 91% |
| P3 10:10 | SEA | Shane Wright from Jared McCann, Vince Dunn | 4–3 | 4% → 20% |
| P3 17:04 | SEA | Chandler Stephenson from Brandon Tanev, Eeli Tolvanen | 4–4 | 9% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider D | 26:38 | 1 | +0.98 | +0.39 | +0.55 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Kane R | 19:58 | +0.86 | +0.06 | −0.08 | +0.12 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.78 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 9:29 | 1 | +0.75 | −0.02 | +0.78 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Elmer Soderblom L | 13:46 | 1 | +0.38 | −0.13 | +0.52 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Andrew Copp C | 17:55 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.30 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | |
| Lucas Raymond L | 21:52 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.16 | +0.42 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | |
| Marco Kasper C | 19:03 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Justin Holl D | 13:04 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 20:53 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 16:10 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.46 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.40 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Simon Edvinsson D | 22:40 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dominik Shine R | 8:36 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 18:53 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.48 | −0.63 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Albert Johansson D | 19:09 | −0.16 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 17:24 | −0.22 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 15:18 | −0.26 | −0.15 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 22:35 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.19 | −0.51 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | |
| Joe Veleno C | 10:15 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.01 | −0.46 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 64:22 | −0.20 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Wright C | 14:56 | 2 | +1.21 | +0.03 | +1.73 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.39 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 21:31 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.27 | +0.64 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Cale Fleury D | 12:51 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 15:35 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.27 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Brandon Tanev L | 13:37 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Matty Beniers C | 21:10 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.04 | +0.50 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.32 | |
| Joshua Mahura D | 13:51 | +0.06 | +0.10 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 11:40 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 19:16 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 7:06 | −0.17 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 16:26 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.06 | −0.26 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Adam Larsson D | 27:04 | −0.27 | −0.22 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 16:37 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.14 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 28:08 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.07 | −0.10 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Montour D | 22:48 | −0.34 | −0.04 | −0.31 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 18:24 | −0.38 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mitchell Stephens C | 8:34 | −0.48 | −0.07 | −0.38 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 19:56 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.17 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.33 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 65:00 | −0.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.