WPG beat WSH 5–4 in overtime. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Josh Morrissey scored at 1:57 of overtime, moving WPG’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Logan Thompson allowed 2.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:13 |  WPG | Cole PerfettiPP from Vladislav Namestnikov, Neal Pionk | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 12:41 | WPG | Dylan Samberg from Cole Perfetti, Vladislav Namestnikov | 2–0 | 64% → 78% |
| P2 1:12 | WSH | Pierre-Luc Dubois from John Carlson, Connor McMichael | 2–1 | 19% → 34% |
| P2 4:03 | WPG | Alex Iafallo from Neal Pionk, Dylan Samberg | 3–1 | 67% → 82% |
| P2 4:54 | WSH | Taylor Raddysh from Matt Roy | 3–2 | 18% → 33% |
| P3 1:10 | WPG | Josh Morrissey from Mark Scheifele | 4–2 | 73% → 90% |
| P3 7:26 | WSH | Tom Wilson from Dylan Strome, Matt Roy | 4–3 | 6% → 22% |
| P3 12:21 | WSH | Alex Ovechkin from Tom Wilson, Matt Roy | 4–4 | 17% → 51% |
| OT 1:57 | WPG | Josh Morrissey from Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Morrissey D | 24:54 | 2 | +1.67 | +0.10 | +1.37 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 8:24 | 1 | +0.94 | +0.12 | +0.83 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cole Perfetti C | 14:44 | 1 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.16 | +0.57 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 |
| Dylan Samberg D | 21:47 | 1 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.22 | +0.85 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Mark Scheifele C | 21:23 | 2 | +0.11 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Neal Pionk D | 23:44 | 2 | +0.08 | +0.17 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Parker Ford C | 8:22 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Gustafsson C | 9:32 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 13:07 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 19:06 | −0.05 | +0.11 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 14:19 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Logan Stanley D | 13:24 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 15:12 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 23:12 | −0.11 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 20:13 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.10 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 18:29 | −0.19 | −0.12 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 14:40 | −0.23 | −0.07 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 17:19 | 2 | −0.26 | +0.22 | −0.51 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 61:57 | −1.41 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Raddysh R | 10:07 | 1 | +1.01 | −0.01 | +0.83 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 14:09 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.01 | +0.84 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tom Wilson R | 17:18 | 1 | 1 | +0.35 | −0.30 | +0.64 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 18:45 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.04 | +0.31 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Rasmus Sandin D | 19:30 | +0.04 | +0.12 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethen Frank R | 11:55 | −0.02 | +0.11 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 13:31 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 19:11 | 3 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nic Dowd C | 16:11 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 15:28 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 18:18 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 23:21 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Martin Fehérváry D | 18:12 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 16:09 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakob Chychrun D | 22:13 | −0.19 | −0.13 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 17:07 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.10 | −0.45 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Lars Eller C | 11:57 | −0.34 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | −0.02 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 17:04 | −0.56 | −0.10 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 61:57 | −2.38 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.