BOS beat SJS 6–3. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.9 to 3.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Charlie Coyle scored at 14:11 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 51% to 87%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:21 | BOS | Vinni Lettieri from Jordan Oesterle, Oliver Wahlstrom | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 13:16 |  SJS | Barclay Goodrow from Nico Sturm, Ty Dellandrea | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 7:02 | BOS | David PastrnakPP from Pavel Zacha, Elias Lindholm | 1–2 | 54% → 73% |
| P2 8:52 | SJS | Will Smith from Mikael Granlund | 2–2 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 15:18 | SJS | Fabian Zetterlund from Will Smith | 3–2 | 47% → 70% |
| P3 8:22 | BOS | Charlie Coyle from Matthew Poitras, Brad Marchand | 3–3 | 22% → 52% |
| P3 14:11 | BOS | Charlie Coyle from Matthew Poitras, Mason Lohrei | 3–4 | 51% → 87% |
| P3 18:45 | BOS | Brad MarchandEN from David Pastrnak, Brandon Carlo | 3–5 | 95% → 100% |
| P3 19:35 | BOS | Elias LindholmEN from Charlie Coyle, Andrew Peeke | 3–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith C | 16:41 | 1 | 1 | +1.21 | +0.35 | +0.87 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Barclay Goodrow C | 13:57 | 1 | +0.46 | −0.20 | +0.68 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Timothy Liljegren D | 17:49 | +0.14 | +0.12 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Walman D | 23:32 | +0.12 | +0.29 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fabian Zetterlund L | 19:12 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Nico Sturm C | 11:10 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Collin Graf R | 9:54 | −0.03 | +0.14 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Macklin Celebrini C | 19:00 | −0.07 | −0.19 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.07 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 10:36 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 20:16 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.06 | −0.27 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jan Rutta D | 19:19 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Kunin C | 13:04 | −0.19 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 13:05 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.04 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Henry Thrun D | 15:51 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 17:53 | −0.27 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| William Eklund L | 17:11 | −0.31 | −0.21 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 18:59 | −0.37 | −0.21 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 21:26 | −0.51 | −0.51 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov G | 58:35 | −0.66 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:30 | 2 | 1 | +1.35 | −0.15 | +1.53 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| David Pastrnak R | 20:21 | 1 | 1 | +1.20 | +0.35 | +0.35 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.40 | +0.01 |
| Vinni Lettieri C | 14:07 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.08 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mason Lohrei D | 23:26 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.46 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 17:05 | 1 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.35 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Pavel Zacha C | 20:07 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.34 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Brandon Carlo D | 19:06 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Oesterle D | 17:29 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matthew Poitras C | 13:14 | 2 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 19:05 | −0.12 | +0.29 | −0.41 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 22:00 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 21:25 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 14:17 | −0.16 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 8:52 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 7:02 | −0.23 | −0.09 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Wahlstrom R | 12:06 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.07 | −0.31 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Beecher C | 12:08 | −0.34 | −0.35 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 18:40 | 1 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.21 | −0.40 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 60:00 | −0.32 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.