NYR beat CBJ 1–0 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (CBJ 2.4, NYR 2.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. Igor Shesterkin saved 3.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Del Bel Belluz C | 14:02 | +0.05 | +0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Zachary Aston-Reese C | 12:49 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 24:13 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 21:42 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Christiansen D | 11:37 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Pyyhtia L | 11:02 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Denton Mateychuk D | 20:50 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 12:22 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 28:51 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitri Voronkov L | 19:57 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.29 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 12:27 | −0.12 | +0.08 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 8:57 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 16:51 | −0.32 | +0.09 | −0.38 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 19:14 | −0.33 | +0.00 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 16:14 | −0.38 | −0.03 | −0.35 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kirill Marchenko R | 23:02 | −0.52 | −0.09 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 17:08 | −0.69 | −0.18 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Adam Fantilli C | 21:59 | −1.16 | −0.24 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.39 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov G | 64:43 | +2.00 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Trocheck C | 20:04 | +0.85 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | +0.78 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 17:54 | +0.35 | +0.17 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 20:46 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 17:58 | +0.07 | +0.12 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 17:10 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 20:46 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Rempe C | 5:51 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 13:21 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 15:35 | −0.13 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 24:54 | −0.14 | +0.12 | −0.29 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Edstrom C | 11:54 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 16:48 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 14:42 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Arthur Kaliyev R | 10:40 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Will Cuylle L | 16:55 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| K'Andre Miller D | 23:16 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 21:46 | −0.53 | −0.02 | −0.24 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 20:40 | −0.77 | +0.31 | −0.58 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.40 | +0.04 | −0.16 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 65:00 | +3.54 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.