LAK beat VAN 5–1. Expected goals were close to even (LAK 2.1, VAN 2.1), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Alex Turcotte scored at 0:51 of the first, moving LAK’s win probability from 47% to 62%. Thatcher Demko allowed 3.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:51 | LAK | Alex Turcotte from Adrian Kempe | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 9:18 | LAK | Alex Turcotte from Kevin Fiala, Mikey Anderson | 2–0 | 63% → 77% |
| P1 9:42 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Alex Turcotte, Anze Kopitar | 3–0 | 77% → 90% |
| P2 14:52 |  VAN | Quinn Hughes from Conor Garland, Filip Hronek | 3–1 | 4% → 13% |
| P2 15:58 | LAK | Kevin FialaPP from Trevor Moore, Joel Edmundson | 4–1 | 88% → 97% |
| P3 11:36 | LAK | Warren Foegele from Quinton Byfield, Brandt Clarke | 5–1 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Turcotte C | 16:20 | 2 | 1 | +1.46 | +0.00 | +1.47 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Adrian Kempe R | 17:07 | 1 | 1 | +0.94 | −0.03 | +0.78 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 |
| Kevin Fiala L | 16:36 | 1 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.04 | +0.72 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.01 |
| Warren Foegele L | 17:26 | 1 | +0.49 | −0.04 | +0.51 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 19:36 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob Moverare D | 12:05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 17:46 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Samuel Helenius C | 8:31 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 11:03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 23:44 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 25:27 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 15:32 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 19:12 | −0.10 | +0.09 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 17:47 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Brandt Clarke D | 14:59 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.07 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 10:21 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 19:25 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Kyle Burroughs D | 7:03 | −0.23 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 60:00 | +0.70 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Hughes D | 29:26 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.04 | +0.88 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Conor Garland R | 18:56 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Forbort D | 16:09 | +0.16 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 22:13 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.04 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Danton Heinen L | 12:24 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Pettersson C | 20:39 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.06 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 15:05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 14:34 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 14:37 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 15:32 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nils Hoglander L | 14:40 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 15:40 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 17:44 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki R | 13:01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vincent Desharnais D | 14:21 | −0.22 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Di Giuseppe L | 10:27 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 13:38 | −0.27 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 15:42 | −0.48 | +0.02 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.09 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 59:55 | −2.95 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.