WPG beat SEA 2–1. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 1.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Dylan DeMelo scored at 19:33 of the third, moving WPG’s win probability from 51% to 97%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:12 | SEA | Matty Beniers from Kaapo Kakko, Jaden Schwartz | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 9:35 |  WPG | Mark ScheifelePP from Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P3 19:33 | WPG | Dylan DeMelo from Nikolaj Ehlers | 1–2 | 51% → 97% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matty Beniers C | 22:10 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.08 | +0.79 | −0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Tye Kartye L | 7:12 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 14:00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Hayden C | 6:52 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 16:08 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shane Wright C | 14:16 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 16:52 | −0.11 | −0.22 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 15:27 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 23:24 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mitchell Stephens C | 6:45 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.01 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 22:45 | −0.19 | −0.04 | −0.17 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 15:46 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 19:26 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 15:54 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Montour D | 21:18 | −0.29 | −0.19 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryker Evans D | 21:13 | −0.29 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 20:04 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.16 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 18:18 | −0.37 | −0.27 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 59:36 | +0.88 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DeMelo D | 22:35 | 1 | +1.02 | +0.11 | +0.86 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Scheifele C | 20:28 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.04 | +0.64 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Neal Pionk D | 22:22 | +0.16 | +0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 16:50 | +0.10 | +0.23 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 17:56 | +0.09 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.03 | ||
| Dylan Samberg D | 23:44 | +0.08 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 17:09 | +0.05 | +0.05 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Dominic Toninato C | 6:29 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Gustafsson C | 5:37 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ville Heinola D | 13:20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Kupari C | 16:10 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Josh Morrissey D | 23:22 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.21 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Barron C | 8:31 | −0.08 | +0.13 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Perfetti C | 18:00 | −0.13 | +0.09 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Stanley D | 13:11 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolaj Ehlers L | 15:26 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.26 | −0.55 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Connor L | 20:00 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 16:50 | −0.49 | +0.22 | −0.68 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 60:00 | +0.43 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.