DET beat PIT 4–2. DET also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: J.T. Compher scored on the power play at 14:26 of the third, moving DET’s win probability from 53% to 88%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PIT–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:52 | DET | Jonatan Berggren from Vladimir Tarasenko, J.T. Compher | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 18:29 |  PIT | Drew O'Connor from Cody Glass | 1–1 | 29% → 47% |
| P2 3:41 | DET | Patrick KanePP from Alex DeBrincat, Lucas Raymond | 1–2 | 54% → 72% |
| P3 3:18 | PIT | Drew O'ConnorPP from Erik Karlsson, Sidney Crosby | 2–2 | 22% → 48% |
| P3 14:26 | DET | J.T. CompherPP from Erik Gustafsson, Jonatan Berggren | 2–3 | 53% → 88% |
| P3 19:46 | DET | Dylan LarkinEN from Lucas Raymond, Joe Veleno | 2–4 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew O'Connor L | 14:02 | 2 | +1.38 | +0.13 | +1.28 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Sidney Crosby C | 21:15 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.02 | |
| Philip Tomasino C | 13:29 | +0.00 | +0.13 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 21:36 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 11:38 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Michael Bunting L | 16:55 | −0.05 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 14:56 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Shea D | 14:28 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 15:09 | −0.13 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 21:37 | −0.15 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Nieto L | 13:55 | −0.19 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | 19:51 | −0.20 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 18:52 | −0.27 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 11:25 | −0.29 | −0.12 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeni Malkin C | 18:17 | −0.32 | −0.11 | −0.19 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Cody Glass C | 11:09 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.00 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | −0.03 | |
| Erik Karlsson D | 21:06 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.10 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Rickard Rakell R | 17:25 | −0.71 | −0.13 | −0.58 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic G | 58:33 | −0.03 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Compher L | 17:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.10 | +0.58 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.20 | +0.05 |
| Patrick Kane R | 14:27 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.06 | +0.83 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonatan Berggren R | 16:00 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.05 | +0.73 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Moritz Seider D | 24:00 | +0.23 | +0.20 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Gustafsson D | 13:44 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Chiarot D | 23:17 | +0.07 | +0.13 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 14:37 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.05 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | |
| Tyler Motte C | 11:30 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 15:49 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Holl D | 14:17 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 19:52 | −0.10 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Kasper C | 10:36 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 15:06 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.19 | −0.32 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Larkin C | 18:53 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.26 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.05 | |
| Lucas Raymond L | 18:23 | 2 | −0.20 | +0.20 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andrew Copp C | 13:38 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 10:56 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Edvinsson D | 21:32 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon G | 60:00 | +0.50 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.