LAK beat EDM 4–3 in overtime. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Quinton Byfield scored at 3:19 of overtime, moving LAK’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | EDM–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:43 |  EDM | Kasperi Kapanen from Connor Brown, Ty Emberson | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 12:32 | LAK | Quinton Byfield from Warren Foegele, Brandt Clarke | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P1 17:35 | LAK | Warren Foegele from Jordan Spence, Quinton Byfield | 1–2 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 3:20 | EDM | Ryan Nugent-HopkinsPP from Connor McDavid, Zach Hyman | 2–2 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 11:59 | EDM | Viktor Arvidsson from Vasily Podkolzin, Leon Draisaitl | 3–2 | 47% → 69% |
| P3 2:32 | LAK | Tanner Jeannot from Jordan Spence, Warren Foegele | 3–3 | 26% → 52% |
| OT 3:19 | LAK | Quinton Byfield from Phillip Danault, Adrian Kempe | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 11:45 | 1 | +0.54 | −0.05 | +0.59 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 22:24 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.23 | +0.58 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 15:59 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.06 | +0.29 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.02 | |
| Ty Emberson D | 14:47 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Brown R | 11:52 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | −0.02 | |
| Troy Stecher D | 13:44 | −0.03 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 15:57 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Corey Perry R | 9:53 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McDavid C | 23:27 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mattias Janmark C | 10:55 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Brett Kulak D | 21:54 | −0.16 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Darnell Nurse D | 22:47 | −0.18 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Ekholm D | 23:24 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.22 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Skinner L | 8:31 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 12:57 | −0.22 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Leon Draisaitl C | 21:03 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.24 | −0.13 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Evan Bouchard D | 25:02 | −0.36 | −0.10 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Hyman L | 21:36 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.06 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner G | 63:19 | −0.92 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Byfield R | 20:43 | 2 | 1 | +1.73 | +0.18 | +1.54 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Warren Foegele L | 16:37 | 1 | 2 | +0.76 | −0.03 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 15:43 | 1 | +0.52 | +0.07 | +0.67 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Brandt Clarke D | 16:15 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 23:49 | +0.16 | +0.26 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 21:53 | +0.10 | +0.21 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 16:20 | 2 | +0.09 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob Moverare D | 12:07 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Akil Thomas C | 6:06 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 3:04 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 18:15 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.14 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 22:29 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 8:03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:30 | −0.10 | +0.25 | −0.41 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 27:18 | −0.20 | +0.04 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 15:58 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 21:32 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.19 | −0.49 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Laferriere R | 21:17 | −0.70 | +0.05 | −0.56 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 63:05 | −0.19 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.