CHI beat SEA 3–1. Expected goals were close to even (SEA 2.3, CHI 2.3), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Ilya Mikheyev scored at 10:54 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 53% to 74%. Arvid Soderblom saved 1.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 10:54 | CHI | Ilya Mikheyev from Teuvo Teravainen | 0–1 | 53% → 74% |
| P3 6:06 | CHI | Ilya Mikheyev from Teuvo Teravainen, Tyler Bertuzzi | 0–2 | 80% → 94% |
| P3 11:26 | SEA | Ryker Evans from Oliver Bjorkstrand, Brandon Montour | 1–2 | 3% → 16% |
| P3 15:11 | CHI | Nolan Allan from Ryan Donato, Connor Murphy | 1–3 | 89% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryker Evans D | 17:35 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.17 | +0.79 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Yanni Gourde C | 12:39 | +0.05 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Daniel Sprong R | 10:54 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 23:39 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 13:29 | −0.07 | +0.07 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 15:44 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 17:05 | −0.10 | −0.12 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 13:15 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matty Beniers C | 16:55 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 16:52 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Shane Wright C | 14:24 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 17:07 | −0.22 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 22:57 | −0.25 | −0.22 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Montour D | 26:27 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.11 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 20:23 | −0.26 | −0.20 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.05 | ||
| Joshua Mahura D | 10:08 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 17:38 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.02 | −0.34 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Tanev L | 12:20 | −0.41 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 56:29 | −0.50 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:10 | 2 | +1.43 | +0.03 | +1.39 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nolan Allan D | 19:44 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.20 | +0.78 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Vlasic D | 26:59 | +0.15 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 17:01 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.12 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.20 | −0.01 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 20:52 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.12 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 19:59 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 15:38 | 2 | +0.02 | +0.11 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Joey Anderson R | 6:53 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 17:37 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 12:42 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Lukas Reichel L | 11:49 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| TJ Brodie D | 17:28 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 15:55 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Korchinski D | 15:19 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Hall L | 15:13 | −0.23 | +0.06 | −0.31 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Patrick Maroon L | 10:16 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 17:45 | −0.34 | +0.11 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.40 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 16:40 | −0.47 | +0.02 | −0.47 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 60:00 | +1.12 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.