BOS beat CGY 4–3 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.9 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: David Pastrnak scored at 4:22 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jeremy Swayman allowed 1.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–CGY | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 0:54 |  CGY | Matt Coronato from Blake Coleman, Mikael Backlund | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 1:21 | CGY | Nazem Kadri from Jonathan Huberdeau, Martin Pospisil | 0–2 | 72% → 86% |
| P2 6:31 | BOS | Elias Lindholm unassisted | 1–2 | 13% → 27% |
| P2 17:19 | CGY | Ryan Lomberg from Connor Zary, Jakob Pelletier | 1–3 | 76% → 91% |
| P3 4:14 | BOS | Morgan Geekie from Andrew Peeke, Mason Lohrei | 2–3 | 6% → 21% |
| P3 6:51 | BOS | Marc McLaughlin from Brad Marchand, Elias Lindholm | 3–3 | 19% → 48% |
| OT 4:22 | BOS | David Pastrnak from Charlie McAvoy | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak R | 23:06 | 1 | +1.18 | +0.55 | +0.53 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marc McLaughlin C | 9:36 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.02 | +0.75 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 19:05 | 1 | 1 | +0.71 | +0.31 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.02 |
| Morgan Geekie C | 18:05 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.10 | +0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 23:24 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.49 | −0.36 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 18:48 | +0.16 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 20:10 | +0.14 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 20:12 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.48 | −0.37 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Beecher C | 8:31 | +0.13 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 20:23 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 20:25 | +0.01 | +0.13 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Brazeau R | 14:25 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 13:03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 19:23 | −0.04 | +0.18 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 19:03 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trent Frederic C | 14:38 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cole Koepke L | 8:19 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 22:30 | −0.16 | +0.36 | −0.56 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 64:22 | −1.09 |
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Lomberg L | 9:51 | 1 | +0.58 | −0.19 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nazem Kadri C | 18:31 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.26 | +0.78 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | |
| Matt Coronato R | 20:13 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.23 | +0.56 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Martin Pospisil C | 16:16 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Blake Coleman L | 17:33 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakob Pelletier L | 13:46 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.07 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden Pachal D | 17:38 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 21:53 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Walker Duehr R | 8:53 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jake Bean D | 17:42 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 18:05 | −0.15 | +0.08 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Rooney C | 10:28 | −0.26 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Connor Zary C | 15:06 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.11 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 14:21 | −0.33 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Bahl D | 23:59 | −0.35 | −0.37 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Huberdeau L | 20:24 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.21 | −0.30 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikael Backlund C | 21:08 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.42 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Rasmus Andersson D | 25:19 | −0.75 | −0.72 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf G | 64:22 | −0.05 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.