NSH beat NYR 2–0. NSH also won the expected-goals battle 3.3 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jonathan Marchessault scored at 13:37 of the first, moving NSH’s win probability from 53% to 71%. Juuse Saros saved 2.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 13:37 |  NSH | Jonathan Marchessault from Steven Stamkos, Filip Forsberg | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P3 11:59 | NSH | Adam Wilsby from Steven Stamkos, Filip Forsberg | 0–2 | 85% → 97% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Ruhwedel D | 14:25 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 21:06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Vesey L | 11:06 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 15:06 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Edstrom C | 11:02 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 17:17 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 27:11 | −0.15 | +0.05 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Berard L | 16:29 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 12:23 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 10:14 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 18:54 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.20 | −0.02 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 21:25 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 12:42 | −0.22 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Zac Jones D | 18:35 | −0.25 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Cuylle L | 14:25 | −0.26 | −0.10 | −0.36 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 17:43 | −0.27 | −0.19 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vincent Trocheck C | 20:59 | −0.35 | −0.08 | −0.33 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Filip Chytil C | 16:40 | −0.41 | −0.15 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin G | 58:18 | +1.48 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 17:54 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.13 | +0.76 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Wilsby D | 22:30 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.09 | +0.82 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tommy Novak C | 11:45 | +0.22 | +0.21 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Nick Blankenburg D | 19:58 | +0.09 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brady Skjei D | 23:46 | +0.08 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Gravel D | 17:13 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 17:34 | 2 | −0.03 | +0.11 | −0.34 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Steven Stamkos C | 18:35 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.11 | −0.22 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Marc Del Gaizo D | 15:30 | −0.06 | +0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 16:00 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 15:13 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zachary L'Heureux L | 12:51 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 12:26 | −0.21 | +0.19 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 14:57 | −0.24 | −0.07 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 14:48 | −0.27 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 15:26 | −0.29 | −0.06 | −0.23 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Mark Jankowski L | 11:40 | −0.33 | +0.21 | −0.44 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 17:54 | −0.85 | +0.19 | −1.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 60:00 | +2.58 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.