DAL beat WSH 3–1. DAL lost the expected-goals battle 2.3 to 2.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Lian Bichsel scored at 17:35 of the second, moving DAL’s win probability from 53% to 76%. Jake Oettinger saved 1.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 15:39 | WSH | Dylan Strome from Jakob Chychrun, Taylor Raddysh | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 13:28 | DAL | Roope HintzPP from Jamie Benn, Wyatt Johnston | 1–1 | 31% → 53% |
| P2 17:35 | DAL | Lian Bichsel from Jason Robertson, Mavrik Bourque | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P3 14:58 | DAL | Roope Hintz from Jason Robertson | 1–3 | 88% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Strome C | 22:23 | 1 | +0.56 | −0.00 | +0.53 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Tom Wilson R | 22:11 | +0.24 | +0.04 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.40 | +0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 17:53 | +0.23 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 16:31 | +0.12 | +0.15 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 19:37 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.20 | −0.09 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 16:01 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Vrana L | 9:32 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 7:02 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 14:10 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 10:36 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 20:39 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 12:21 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 16:11 | −0.26 | +0.13 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Miroshnichenko L | 13:03 | −0.28 | −0.08 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 19:25 | −0.30 | −0.14 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 24:19 | −0.31 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 24:21 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.11 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 13:41 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.03 | −0.46 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren G | 57:42 | −0.21 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roope Hintz C | 14:06 | 2 | +1.63 | −0.05 | +1.49 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | |
| Lian Bichsel D | 16:31 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.10 | +0.91 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 30:37 | +0.14 | +0.22 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 14:24 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.04 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.02 | |
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 12:34 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 27:42 | +0.01 | +0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 10:21 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Stankoven C | 15:43 | −0.06 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 9:52 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mavrik Bourque C | 13:48 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Robertson L | 13:21 | 2 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mason Marchment L | 16:47 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 16:08 | −0.27 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 17:54 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.10 | −0.40 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Matt Duchene C | 17:33 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.04 | ||
| Ilya Lyubushkin D | 21:57 | −0.31 | +0.05 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Smith D | 10:54 | −0.33 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.40 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Bäck C | 11:48 | −0.35 | +0.07 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 60:00 | +1.75 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.