VGK beat WPG 3–2 in overtime. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 1.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Ivan Barbashev scored at 3:47 of overtime, moving VGK’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:27 |  WPG | Nikita Chibrikov from Vladislav Namestnikov, Cole Perfetti | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P3 4:34 |  VGK | Keegan Kolesar unassisted | 1–1 | 21% → 48% |
| P3 10:55 | WPG | Josh Morrissey from Dylan DeMelo, Alex Iafallo | 1–2 | 52% → 84% |
| P3 18:11 | VGK | Victor OlofssonPP from Mark Stone, Shea Theodore | 2–2 | 13% → 51% |
| OT 3:47 | VGK | Ivan Barbashev from Shea Theodore | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Kolesar R | 12:42 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.17 | +0.81 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 19:52 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.14 | +0.76 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Victor Olofsson R | 15:59 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.14 | +0.61 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 26:17 | 2 | +0.52 | +0.30 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Nicolas Roy C | 13:52 | +0.32 | +0.29 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 22:54 | +0.17 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Stone R | 21:58 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.04 | −0.16 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Hanifin D | 21:24 | +0.10 | +0.15 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 14:21 | +0.10 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 19:21 | +0.09 | +0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 15:55 | +0.08 | +0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 16:02 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Alexander Holtz R | 10:52 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 14:34 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.40 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 15:20 | −0.22 | +0.04 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jack Eichel C | 22:08 | −0.37 | +0.09 | −0.27 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.05 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 14:03 | −0.41 | −0.04 | −0.35 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 11:59 | −0.48 | +0.28 | −0.74 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill G | 63:35 | −0.46 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Chibrikov R | 11:25 | 1 | +0.54 | −0.06 | +0.60 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Morrissey D | 25:18 | 1 | +0.39 | −0.25 | +0.64 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan DeMelo D | 25:15 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mason Appleton C | 13:01 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 14:19 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Logan Stanley D | 18:45 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 16:40 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Rasmus Kupari C | 11:52 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 12:50 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ville Heinola D | 12:04 | −0.14 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Barron C | 11:42 | −0.16 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 14:18 | −0.17 | +0.12 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Haydn Fleury D | 19:23 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Neal Pionk D | 23:28 | −0.26 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Perfetti C | 13:45 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.08 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 18:01 | −0.41 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 21:18 | −0.42 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Scheifele C | 21:06 | −0.57 | −0.34 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 63:47 | +0.41 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.