WSH beat CBJ 2–1 in overtime. WSH also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 3.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Aliaksei Protas scored at 2:23 of overtime, moving WSH’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Charlie Lindgren saved 2.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 14:12 |  CBJ | Zach WerenskiPP from Kent Johnson, Sean Monahan | 0–1 | 54% → 75% |
| P3 0:31 |  WSH | Aliaksei Protas from Pierre-Luc Dubois, Jakob Chychrun | 1–1 | 23% → 48% |
| OT 2:23 | WSH | Aliaksei Protas from Dylan Strome, Jakob Chychrun | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas L | 16:12 | 2 | +1.44 | +0.07 | +1.36 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| John Carlson D | 22:55 | +0.45 | +0.45 | −0.07 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 20:03 | 2 | +0.21 | +0.34 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Strome C | 19:25 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.25 | −0.28 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | |
| Connor McMichael L | 19:30 | +0.04 | +0.25 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 17:10 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 8:55 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 12:12 | −0.02 | +0.09 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 16:50 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 13:59 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 21:21 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 19:28 | −0.15 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Miroshnichenko L | 7:36 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 21:54 | −0.30 | −0.27 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lars Eller C | 15:18 | −0.32 | +0.07 | −0.38 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 15:21 | −0.40 | +0.23 | −0.64 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 15:26 | −0.44 | +0.02 | −0.49 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 14:56 | −0.57 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.40 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren G | 62:23 | +2.57 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Werenski D | 27:47 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.46 | +0.20 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Kent Johnson C | 20:19 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.27 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Cole Sillinger C | 16:01 | +0.21 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.40 | +0.05 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 23:03 | +0.12 | +0.15 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 11:07 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 16:05 | −0.17 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 17:00 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 9:46 | −0.23 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 22:08 | −0.27 | −0.47 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 20:49 | −0.29 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Pyyhtia L | 9:33 | −0.29 | −0.29 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitri Voronkov L | 17:26 | −0.30 | +0.06 | −0.36 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirill Marchenko R | 18:03 | −0.32 | +0.08 | −0.60 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Zachary Aston-Reese C | 15:26 | −0.34 | −0.11 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Christiansen D | 11:18 | −0.36 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 9:46 | −0.40 | −0.15 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fantilli C | 17:07 | −0.52 | −0.12 | −0.30 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 22:25 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.11 | −0.61 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.09 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves G | 62:23 | +1.26 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.