PHI beat DET 4–1. Expected goals were close to even (DET 2.3, PHI 2.3), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Scott Laughton scored at 13:22 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 53% to 75%. Aleksei Kolosov saved 1.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 13:22 | PHI | Scott Laughton unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 75% |
| P3 1:31 | PHI | Scott LaughtonSH from Travis Konecny, Travis Sanheim | 0–2 | 77% → 92% |
| P3 16:07 | DET | Ben Chiarot from Andrew Copp, J.T. Compher | 1–2 | 1% → 10% |
| P3 18:53 | PHI | Scott LaughtonEN from Travis Konecny, Noah Cates | 1–3 | 95% → 100% |
| P3 19:47 | PHI | Scott LaughtonEN from Garnet Hathaway | 1–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Chiarot D | 21:44 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.19 | +0.66 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 14:03 | −0.02 | +0.09 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 18:42 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Albert Johansson D | 13:22 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 14:02 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.12 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 14:13 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 10:36 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 26:34 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 17:51 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Fischer R | 11:17 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 20:16 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.11 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 11:54 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 19:32 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 12:37 | −0.18 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 20:30 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.39 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 14:16 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.08 | −0.30 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Marco Kasper C | 15:34 | −0.34 | −0.11 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Simon Edvinsson D | 22:22 | −0.38 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 58:35 | +0.58 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Laughton C | 13:30 | 4 | +1.61 | +0.02 | +1.59 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Frost C | 15:21 | +0.11 | +0.08 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.05 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 18:09 | +0.09 | +0.14 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 14:09 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.12 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 16:02 | +0.03 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam York D | 21:01 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 14:41 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 12:38 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 12:37 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 21:04 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 20:18 | 2 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Seeler D | 19:53 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 14:08 | −0.20 | +0.09 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 12:03 | −0.20 | +0.09 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 22:06 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.04 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 17:11 | −0.28 | −0.17 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 16:14 | −0.31 | +0.06 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.02 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 16:55 | −0.46 | −0.14 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Kolosov G | 60:00 | +1.42 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.