NJD beat LAK 3–1. Expected goals were close to even (LAK 2.3, NJD 2.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Jack Hughes scored at 12:58 of the third, moving NJD’s win probability from 51% to 86%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 16:41 | LAK | Jordan Spence from Alex Laferriere, Phillip Danault | 1–0 | 47% → 71% |
| P2 18:56 |  NJD | Ondrej Palat from Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt | 1–1 | 28% → 52% |
| P3 12:58 | NJD | Jack Hughes from Ondrej Palat, Brenden Dillon | 1–2 | 51% → 86% |
| P3 17:17 | NJD | Brett PesceSH from Jack Hughes | 1–3 | 91% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Spence D | 15:07 | 1 | +1.06 | +0.19 | +0.89 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob Moverare D | 13:54 | +0.16 | +0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 14:52 | +0.06 | +0.14 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 23:00 | +0.05 | +0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 13:58 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Burroughs D | 4:26 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 18:32 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 9:34 | −0.10 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 19:06 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Trevor Moore L | 17:58 | −0.18 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:50 | −0.19 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 17:06 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 20:51 | −0.22 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 17:42 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.09 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 21:29 | −0.27 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:32 | −0.33 | −0.14 | −0.24 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 21:45 | −0.37 | −0.24 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 10:06 | −0.60 | +0.06 | −0.67 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| David Rittich G | 57:12 | −0.77 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ondrej Palat L | 16:23 | 1 | 1 | +0.98 | +0.17 | +0.79 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Brett Pesce D | 20:19 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.08 | +0.71 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Hughes C | 19:41 | 1 | 2 | +0.79 | +0.17 | +0.69 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 |
| Timo Meier R | 18:33 | +0.18 | +0.27 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 21:36 | +0.11 | +0.24 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 21:05 | +0.10 | +0.15 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.20 | −0.04 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 17:37 | +0.06 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Hughes D | 19:02 | +0.02 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 19:36 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Paul Cotter C | 14:48 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 22:28 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 15:39 | −0.11 | +0.21 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 9:19 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Dowling C | 7:00 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kurtis MacDermid L | 5:31 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 17:10 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Haula L | 15:33 | −0.31 | +0.04 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.06 | ||
| Stefan Noesen R | 16:40 | −0.42 | +0.12 | −0.53 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 60:00 | +0.97 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.