BOS beat PHI 4–3 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Pavel Zacha scored at 2:49 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:24 |  PHI | Matvei MichkovPP from Sean Couturier, Emil Andrae | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 18:24 | PHI | Matvei Michkov from Travis Sanheim | 2–0 | 65% → 80% |
| P2 5:26 |  BOS | Trent FredericPP from Mason Lohrei, Morgan Geekie | 2–1 | 18% → 33% |
| P2 15:29 | PHI | Cam York from Travis Sanheim, Travis Konecny | 3–1 | 70% → 87% |
| P3 5:18 | BOS | Trent Frederic from Charlie Coyle, Mark Kastelic | 3–2 | 7% → 24% |
| P3 14:38 | BOS | Brad Marchand from Justin Brazeau | 3–3 | 14% → 51% |
| OT 2:49 | BOS | Pavel Zacha from David Pastrnak | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov R | 14:39 | 2 | +1.83 | +0.07 | +1.56 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Cam York D | 23:11 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.08 | +0.79 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.40 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 15:57 | +0.10 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 18:17 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.13 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Frost C | 12:49 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 13:51 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 13:37 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 17:57 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 15:23 | −0.11 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 23:26 | −0.17 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 9:07 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Foerster R | 14:25 | −0.25 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 26:51 | 2 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Cates L | 13:33 | −0.33 | −0.28 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 17:29 | 1 | −0.38 | +0.09 | −0.35 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.03 | |
| Joel Farabee L | 16:33 | −0.43 | +0.20 | −0.62 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 13:27 | −0.44 | −0.08 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.20 | −0.01 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 17:36 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.04 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Kolosov G | 62:49 | −0.30 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Frederic C | 15:51 | 2 | +1.51 | +0.10 | +1.41 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Zacha C | 20:35 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.20 | +0.64 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mason Lohrei D | 18:28 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 21:43 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.00 | +0.25 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 23:57 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.23 | −0.24 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Brazeau R | 17:15 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.09 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | |
| John Beecher C | 11:10 | +0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | −0.03 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 16:59 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Koepke L | 10:09 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 15:39 | −0.08 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 17:01 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc McLaughlin C | 7:27 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 21:44 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 22:51 | −0.16 | +0.05 | −0.23 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 22:35 | −0.20 | −0.05 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.09 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 16:26 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.04 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:20 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.08 | −0.31 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mark Kastelic C | 11:13 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.00 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 62:12 | −0.16 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.