CGY beat CBJ 3–0. CGY also won the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 1.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson scored on the power play at 10:14 of the second, moving CGY’s win probability from 54% to 74%. Dan Vladar saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–CGY | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 10:14 |  CGY | Rasmus AnderssonPP from Mikael Backlund, Nazem Kadri | 0–1 | 54% → 74% |
| P3 17:53 | CGY | Kevin BahlPP from MacKenzie Weegar, Jonathan Huberdeau | 0–2 | 94% → 100% |
| P3 19:40 | CGY | Yegor SharangovichEN from Mikael Backlund, Blake Coleman | 0–3 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kuraly C | 11:29 | +0.14 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Zachary Aston-Reese C | 11:50 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 13:14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Harris D | 9:33 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Christiansen D | 8:31 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitri Voronkov L | 16:50 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 22:31 | −0.12 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 11:31 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 16:05 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 17:50 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirill Marchenko R | 16:34 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Danforth R | 13:50 | −0.23 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.20 | −0.04 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 16:11 | −0.27 | −0.21 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 12:38 | −0.29 | −0.07 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fantilli C | 18:29 | −0.30 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.06 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 23:35 | −0.33 | −0.13 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 29:01 | −0.42 | −0.07 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 25:12 | −0.43 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.40 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins G | 58:56 | +0.02 |
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Andersson D | 21:37 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.18 | +0.87 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Bahl D | 18:48 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.16 | +0.67 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden Pachal D | 16:55 | +0.48 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.40 | +0.00 | ||
| Nazem Kadri C | 21:49 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.19 | −0.15 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.04 | |
| Mikael Backlund C | 20:14 | 2 | +0.17 | +0.13 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.09 | |
| Jake Bean D | 15:16 | +0.12 | +0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Huberdeau L | 19:08 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.15 | −0.15 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Walker Duehr R | 11:04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Coronato R | 16:48 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 17:56 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ryan Lomberg L | 8:09 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Rooney C | 8:24 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Daniil Miromanov D | 19:27 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Pelletier L | 8:24 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 16:38 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.09 | −0.38 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.01 | |
| Connor Zary C | 14:07 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 23:40 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Martin Pospisil C | 19:36 | −0.39 | +0.17 | −0.52 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 60:00 | +1.46 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.