LAK beat ANA 2–1. LAK lost the expected-goals battle 1.9 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Alex Laferriere scored at 1:18 of the third, moving LAK’s win probability from 48% to 73%. Erik Portillo saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 2:48 |  ANA | Ryan Strome from Drew Helleson, Troy Terry | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 10:46 | LAK | Alex Turcotte from Alex Laferriere | 1–1 | 26% → 47% |
| P3 1:18 | LAK | Alex Laferriere from Brandt Clarke, Phillip Danault | 2–1 | 48% → 73% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Turcotte C | 11:41 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.06 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Alex Laferriere R | 16:55 | 1 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.09 | +0.60 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:41 | +0.22 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.20 | +0.06 | ||
| Andre Lee L | 9:30 | +0.18 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:30 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 7:54 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 27:16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 26:17 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 10:22 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Spence D | 14:39 | −0.12 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 18:44 | −0.12 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 17:16 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 22:04 | −0.24 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 12:38 | −0.25 | −0.09 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 15:48 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | |
| Warren Foegele L | 14:45 | −0.32 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 17:59 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.08 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 11:01 | −0.48 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Erik Portillo G | 58:37 | +2.35 |
| David Rittich G | 1:23 | +0.15 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Strome C | 19:39 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.15 | +0.49 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.20 | −0.04 | |
| Olen Zellweger D | 20:40 | +0.23 | +0.24 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 19:17 | +0.18 | +0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Leason R | 16:02 | +0.12 | +0.17 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sam Colangelo R | 6:08 | +0.07 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.20 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 14:28 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Drew Helleson D | 17:37 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jansen Harkins C | 8:28 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 16:05 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 6:56 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 20:48 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 20:03 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 21:31 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.15 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Killorn L | 20:14 | −0.14 | +0.11 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 18:49 | −0.22 | −0.04 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 19:38 | −0.26 | +0.18 | −0.41 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cutter Gauthier L | 14:04 | −0.31 | +0.22 | −0.53 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 17:04 | −0.51 | −0.02 | −0.52 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 58:29 | −0.61 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.